Big picture - Money printer is on a spending spree(fiscal) - Fed chair swap is underpriced(monetary) https://t.co/NJGVr0LbW0 👉 Fiscal + Monetary easing leads to DXY falling - SPX leading(risk appetite)
Bitcoin - MSTR inclusion to SP500 - Continuous flow of treasury companies
All of this while general crypto consensus is still short vol for the summer...
Positioning : Balls long
🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. (still) 100% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.
Not-so-daily Vol 2025-06-27 Portfolio up a bit on the dip despite being long delta mainly due to alt weakness.
Will continue being long BTC ETH HYPE and short alts for the summer based on:
- CB premiums looking healthy - IVs compressing. Can lead to explosive breakouts. - weakening dollar - fed chair swap out + underpriced rate cuts - market positioning for summer chop
Counter. Bid-asks delta still looking a bit heavier towards asks in this price range, so taking my time to build longs
Positioning : L/S ratio 1.6:1 - Staying long BTC, ETH and have a small HYPE position(want to add to) - Staying short basket of alts
🕹️Currently trading mostly on @Lighter_xyz Closed beta. Early. Points. ZK-tech. (still) 100% apy LP-Vaults. Backed by big names. DM for access as I'm running short on codes. Only serious players apply.
@CavanXy : High signal on BTC @Cheshire_Cap : Thesis driven long/short @0xkyle__ : VC that nailed the CRCL trade @DiogenesCasares : Builder that nailed the CRCL trade @Evan_ss6 : Trader that nailed the CRCL trade
“What important truth do very few people agree with you on?”
Applied to crypto:
– Saylor: bitcoin’s volatility is the value prop – Telegram bots: people will trust private keys to servers for smoother trading – Ethena: users are willing to sacrifice decentralization if the yield scales – Memecoins: users don’t want infra, they want fun and upside – Hyperliquid: no VC, no marketing — just PMF and orderbooks > AMMs – Circle IPO: stablecoin narrative > financials; demand is narrative-driven
“What important truth do very few people agree with you on?”
Applied to crypto:
– Saylor: bitcoin’s volatility is the value prop – Telegram bots: people will trust private keys to servers for smoother trading – Ethena: users are willing to sacrifice decentralization if the yield scales – Memecoins: users don’t want infra, they want fun and upside – Hyperliquid: no VC, no shill — just PMF and orderbooks > AMMs – Circle IPO: stablecoin narrative > financials; demand is narrative-driven