remember when @coinbase did IPO and all CEX tokens went ballistic?
$BNB pulled a 3x to reach ATH, $OKB 4x, $KCS 5x, $GT 10x, and a few others.
now instead we had:
• Circle IPO, oversubscribed, and massive un • Tether earning billlions and top UST buyer • Stablecoin supply broke ATH at $250B+ • Genius Act bill passed • Trump, Bessent, Powell, and others publicly supporting stablecoins • Plasma just launched raising $50M in minutes at $500M FDV • JP Morgan launching a “deposit” token on Base • Potential new players of stablecoins like Bank of America or Fidelity • Stripe bought Bridge in a $1b+ deal • Bvnk raises $50m at $750m fdv
(I’m likely missing some extra points)
Yet liquid crypto stablecoin proxies do not move. Or barely, definitely not comparable to other metas / narratives we’ve had.
Crypto has stopped moving around main events. Or has become less dumb.
Consequently, the concept of "narrative" is weaker than ever.
I guess that’s a sign of a simultaneously more matured and saturated market. And definitely a less fun market.
$hood, $coin, $crcl, $hype, $aave, $syrup, and maybe a few others are doing quite well
the common denominator is value, actual revenue-generating businesses, leaders of their categories, with credible paths to make more money
there’s not that many investable crypto-related assets, so all value-driven capital is being force-fed into a small set of names
I don’t know how purely speculative capital compares on a net basis vs. value capital, but what is certain is that speculative capital has been never more spread out.
The results is sound businesses pulling multiples while high risk altcoins keep trending lower.
Occasional wins and a few short-lived runners every month keep spirits alive whereas, on a sufficiently long-term horizon, this speculative capital diminishes as losses pile up and number of options increase.
It's just entropy — a ratio of a pool of capital spread out across an ever-increasing number of options. Although fundamentals-chasing capital is finite, the number of targets reduces, so ratio improves.
Ngl, my allocation to these isn’t high. But it’s showing us what we’ve wanted for a long time — concentration of sticky capital to enjoy hodling while still pulling multiples with peace of mind.
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when we see a new runner when market is static, we tend to see it stall as the rest of the market heats up and there’s repricing.
Do not confuse this with weakness. People chase green candles. After a big run, $giza may need some consolidation around this area. That’s required for a new run. Even most altcoins have barely moved in this ETH pump.
when there’s a new innovator, it will keep attracting flows until it gets exhausted — and we aren’t there yet with everything they have cooking + promising BTC / ETH break outs
Came across this thesis on Agentic Protocols by @goodalexander from April ’24 that I highly recommend reading.
https://t.co/6tRSLAR8oi
It’s still a bit utopian compared to where we currently stand — focused on fully autonomous self-evolving entities that operate without human teams and generate their own cash flow.
But it's clearly the direction we’re heading. We’re already planting the first seeds.
Came across this thesis on Agentic Protocols by @goodalexander from April ’24 that I highly recommend reading.
It’s still a bit utopian compared to where we currently stand — focused on fully autonomous self-evolving entities that operate without human teams and generate their own cash flow.
But it's clearly the direction we’re heading. We’re already planting the first seeds.
The Rise of Agentic Protocols (APs) — the AI trade of 2025
Crypto x AI as of today cannot scale to mainstream adoption. Most are just prompt-based assistants that help you swap, bridge, or execute an onchain action via a conversational prompt, powered by an LLM.
Instead, I envision a future where Agentic Protocols (APs) thrive.
APs are the next natural evolution of Smart Contracts and maintain the DeFi ethos — onchain, verifiable, non-custodial, trustless, permissionless, and fully autonomous.
A world where agents are the protocol, and smart contracts are simply the tools they control, with barely any human input in the loop.
It’s not about replacing buttons with prompts to simplify crypto UX. It’s about agents doing the work for you, or working together with you — at your level.
Agentic Protocols are *performance-driven* (instead of just simplifying UX), and autonomously leverage existing DeFi infrastructure, such as:
• money markets to optimize yield and rebalance across protocols and chains
• perpetual DEXs to farm funding rates on trending tokens, creating customized models adapted to any market environment
• airdrop farms with sophisticated delta-neutral positioning
• trading platforms to execute based on mindshare, exotic social signals, and virality, not just TA indicators
• direct interaction with users on platforms like X, Reddit, or TikTok, enabling headless DeFi interfaces
• dynamic money management using adaptive frameworks that evolve based on how you and the agent interact together — optimizing for your collective behavior and returns over time — you and the agent as a system
I’m bullish on teams building toward this vision, whether at the infrastructure layer or with consumer-facing products.
DeFAI was a good start.
But Agentic Protocols, in my view, are the real wave of AI that will see the early adoption that DeFi saw in 2020.
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