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resdegen
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$GIZA agents TVL 4x’d since price was at ATH of $0.48. Yet price is down 65-70%.
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resdegen
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The altcoin market cap will keep increasing and will eventually break ATH Yet, the altcoin market will, at the same time, be depressed Remember how euphoric we were in 2021 at $800B+ TOTAL3 market cap?
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The altcoin market cap will keep increasing and will eventually break ATH. Yet, the altcoin market will, at the same time, be depressed. Remember how euphoric we were in 2021 at $800M+ TOTAL3 market cap?
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remember when @coinbase did IPO and all CEX tokens went ballistic? $BNB pulled a 3x to reach ATH, $OKB 4x, $KCS 5x, $GT 10x, and a few others. now instead we had: • Circle IPO, oversubscribed, and massive un • Tether earning billlions and top UST buyer • Stablecoin supply broke ATH at $250B+ • Genius Act bill passed • Trump, Bessent, Powell, and others publicly supporting stablecoins • Plasma just launched raising $50M in minutes at $500M FDV • JP Morgan launching a “deposit” token on Base • Potential new players of stablecoins like Bank of America or Fidelity • Stripe bought Bridge in a $1b+ deal • Bvnk raises $50m at $750m fdv (I’m likely missing some extra points) Yet liquid crypto stablecoin proxies do not move. Or barely, definitely not comparable to other metas / narratives we’ve had. Crypto has stopped moving around main events. Or has become less dumb. Consequently, the concept of "narrative" is weaker than ever. I guess that’s a sign of a simultaneously more matured and saturated market. And definitely a less fun market.
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$hood, $coin, $crcl, $hype, $aave, $syrup, and maybe a few others are doing quite well the common denominator is value, actual revenue-generating businesses, leaders of their categories, with credible paths to make more money there’s not that many investable crypto-related assets, so all value-driven capital is being force-fed into a small set of names I don’t know how purely speculative capital compares on a net basis vs. value capital, but what is certain is that speculative capital has been never more spread out. The results is sound businesses pulling multiples while high risk altcoins keep trending lower. Occasional wins and a few short-lived runners every month keep spirits alive whereas, on a sufficiently long-term horizon, this speculative capital diminishes as losses pile up and number of options increase. It's just entropy — a ratio of a pool of capital spread out across an ever-increasing number of options. Although fundamentals-chasing capital is finite, the number of targets reduces, so ratio improves. Ngl, my allocation to these isn’t high. But it’s showing us what we’ve wanted for a long time — concentration of sticky capital to enjoy hodling while still pulling multiples with peace of mind.
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