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The Fed Pivoted. So Why Aren’t We Hiring & Expanding Yet? The Fed hinting at rate cuts is big financial news. But if you’re waiting for the business boom to start the moment they pivot… you might be waiting a while. Here’s the reality check: Businesses run on customers, not cheap debt. A 0.25% cut in the Fed funds rate doesn’t magically fill our stores, book our services, or boost our order books. My decision to hire, expand, or buy new equipment hinges on one thing: sustained, visible customer demand. Think of it this way: · Interest rates are the price of money. · Customer demand is the source of revenue. If demand is softening because consumers are tapped out, or because the economy is cooling a slightly cheaper loan isn’t an incentive. It’s just a less expensive life raft. I’m not going to build a bigger ship if I’m not sure more passengers are coming. The pivot is a change in the headwind, not a sudden tailwind. It stops the pressure from increasing, which is vital. It helps stabilize confidence and makes future planning easier. But the engine of this economy is still consumer spending. We need to see that engine humming before we shift into a higher gear. The Takeaway: The Fed's pivot is the first step in a long process. It fixes the cost side of the equation. But the growth side? That comes from you your spending, your investing, your confidence as a customer. #FederalReserve #Economy #BusinessStrategy #rsshanto #InterestRates
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Why the Fed's Pivot Doesn't Mean an Immediate Boom for Businesses The Federal Reserve's shift toward lower interest rates is designed to stimulate economic activity, but the path from policy change to tangible business growth is often longer than expected. In principle, cheaper borrowing costs should encourage companies to expand, invest in new projects, and ramp up hiring. However, the "transmission mechanism" itself takes time banks need to repackage and price new commercial loans, and corporate treasurers often wait for clearer signals of sustained demand before committing to major expenditures. Crucially, business investment is driven more by long-term confidence than by short-term rate moves. If corporate leaders perceive ongoing uncertainty around supply chains, consumer spending, or the geopolitical landscape, they may postpone capital plans despite favorable financing. This "confidence lag" means balance sheets might strengthen before hiring and investment do. Economists note that while the rate-cut cycle provides a vital supportive backdrop, a true acceleration in business activity will likely require confirmation that inflation is tamed and end-market demand is robust. The easing of financial conditions is the first step, not the finish line. #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #BusinessInvestment #rsshanto #EconomicGrowth
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