🚹【$ETH $BNB $BTC — Tonight Could Decide the Next Big Crypto Move】

If you felt the market trembling last night
 that wasn’t imagination. The newly released Fed minutes show something we rarely see, complete division, no clear plan, no clear direction, high tension and when TradFi loses clarity → crypto always reacts first.

đŸ”„ 1. The October meeting minutes revealed a full internal split

‱ “Cut Rates” faction: several officials want a 25bp cut in December if data matches expectations

‱ “Wait-and-See” faction: many officials want to hold steady (and yes—“many” > “several” in Fed language)

‱ “Radical” faction: one group pushed for a big 50bp cut, while another said “no cuts at all”

This is the most divided the Fed has been all year.

⚠ 2. A 44-day data blackout = Because of the long government shutdown, key data vanished

‱ No October employment data

‱ September jobs report delayed 1.5 months

‱ No official GDP data update

‱ No full inflation dataset

The Fed is making decisions in a fog and markets hate uncertainty.

📉 3. Rate-cut expectations collapsed instantly

After the minutes dropped

‱ December rate-cut probability fell from 50% → below 30%

‱ “Hold steady” expectations surged to nearly 70%

‱ Swap market pricing shrank from 11bps → 6bps

This is why markets reacted with hesitation — and crypto followed.

⚡ 4. Labour market flashing warnings

‱ Only 17,000 new jobs in September (vs. 50,000 expected)

‱ Continuing unemployment claims surged by 40,000

‱ Corporate layoff announcements rising rapidly

Weak labour → weak growth → higher volatility.

🎯 5. Tonight’s data release = potential market breaker

The delayed September non-farm payrolls finally drop tonight:

‱ Expected new jobs: 50,000

‱ Unemployment: 4.3% expected

This is the only fresh data the market has before the next Fed meeting.

If it misses expectations → shock.

If it beats → relief rally.

Either way → crypto will move faster than stocks.

#USStocksForecast2026 #MarketPullback #CPIWatch