$BTC Next One-Month Analysis (Mid-November to Mid-December 2025)
Key Factors and Analysis:
Current Price Action: As of mid-November 2025, BTC has entered a steep sell-off, hitting a seven-month low (around $93,043) and erasing all of its gains for the current calendar year.
The Federal Reserve (FOMC) Decision (Dec 10): This is the primary market driver. Uncertainty over the Fed's next move has reduced the probability of a December rate cut to approximately $50\%$.
Rate Cut: Would inject liquidity into the market, favoring risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially triggering a sharp rally towards the $107,000 mark.
No Rate Cut: Would maintain the current "risk-off" sentiment, putting sustained downward pressure on the price.
Critical Support Level: The price level of $92,000 is the immediate and most crucial support. A sustained breach below this level could accelerate the sell-off.
Technical Picture (Descriptive):
The one-month chart shows a strong downward momentum, indicating that bears are currently in control. The price has been pushing against multi-month lows, making any immediate upside difficult without a significant bullish catalyst (like the Fed rate cut).
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