đš U.S. Treasury Secretary Slams Federal Reserve: âModels Failed, Predictions Wrong â Leadership Shake-Up Coming in Decemberâ
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis-point rate cut, but the move immediately drew fire from Treasury Secretary Basent, who accused the Fed of being âstuck in the past.â
Basent argued that the central bankâs forecasting models have failed, its inflation and growth projections are consistently off, and its response to economic shifts remains far too slow.
He revealed that a second round of interviews will take place in December to select Jerome Powellâs successor before Christmas â signaling that a leadership transition at the Fed is already underway.
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⥠Basentâs Three Core Criticisms
1ïžâŁ Rate cuts are too cautious â the Fed is reacting too slowly to turning points.
2ïžâŁ Policy divisions are widening, fueled by delayed data and indecision.
3ïžâŁ Outdated models â unable to capture real employment and inflation dynamics.
Basent said the U.S. needs a new Fed chair willing to break from old frameworks and rebuild the decision-making process from the ground up.
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đïž Powellâs Response & Market Fallout
At his press conference, Chair Jerome Powell defended the Fedâs approach, stressing âcaution amid disagreementâ and citing the ongoing government shutdown for creating data gaps.
Basentâs remarks, however, deepened market unease â highlighting a growing rift between the Treasury and the Fed and raising speculation that the Trump administration is preparing a policy realignment.
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đ Market Takeaway
The 25 bps cut has done little to calm investors.
Attention has now shifted from interest-rate projections to the question of leadership â who will lead the Federal Reserve next?
Basent made it clear: this isnât about a mild adjustment.
Itâs about a systemic overhaul of the institution at the heart of U.S. monetary policy.