đ October 29, 2025 | FOMC Decision Day
The stage is set and tonight, the Federal Reserve is expected to deliver what markets have been waiting for: a 25bps rate cut. But make no mistake, this isnât just another policy tweak. Itâs the beginning of a new macro chapter for global markets.
đž Rate Cut? Already Priced In.
The suspense is over â traders are already betting 99.6% on a quarter-point cut.
But thatâs not where the real story lies.
The marketâs obsession has shifted to the pace and depth of what comes next:
đ How many more cuts will the Fed deliver?
đ Will Powell hint at an aggressive easing cycle?
đ Could December bring a surprise 50bps move?
đ According to CMEâs FedWatch Tool:
91.3% chance of cumulative 50bps cuts by December
8.6% chance of only 25bps total
0.1% chance of no change
Translation? The market has already hit the fast-forward button.
⥠Why It Matters
This decision could redefine risk sentiment heading into year-end.
Gold traders are eyeing fresh highs if Powell turns dovish.
Crypto markets, led by $BTC and $ETH, could see explosive upside if liquidity loosens.
Dollar pairs (especially USD/JPY and EUR/USD) might swing wildly as rate expectations reset.
Volatility is the only guarantee tonight â and those who trade it well could ride the next macro wave before it hits. đ
đ§ Bottom Line
This isnât just a cut â itâs a policy pivot.
The Fed is moving from fighting inflation to fueling growth, and that shift could ignite a whole new cycle in risk assets.
So stay sharp, watch the press conference, and remember â the first move tonight is Powellâs, but the real reaction belongs to the market.

