David Bailey, a prominent crypto advisor to former President Trump and CEO of Nakamoto, recently asserted that Bitcoin's price remains below $150,000 due to the selling pressure from two massive whale holders. According to Bailey, one whale has already completed its liquidation, while the second is about halfway through selling its Bitcoin holdings. Once these significant sell-offs conclude, Bailey believes the path for Bitcoin is "up only," with a potential surge toward $150,000, representing about a 36% jump from current prices near $110,000.
Whale activity, especially involving large Bitcoin holders unloading billions of dollars in Bitcoin, has periodically suppressed momentum and capped price advances. A notable example was a whale sale of 24,000 BTC (worth approximately $2.7 billion) that triggered a flash crash in late August 2025, momentarily dropping Bitcoin's price by thousands of dollars and liquidating hundreds of millions in leveraged positions. These large-scale sales lead to an artificial ceiling, delaying Bitcoin's natural price discovery and growth.
Bailey’s perspective is broadly supported by other analysts who expect Bitcoin to reach between $150,000 and $250,000 by the end of 2025, driven by factors such as ETF inflows, the upcoming halving cycle, and increasing institutional adoption. The idea is that once the current supply overhang linked to whale sell-offs clears, buying demand can take over, potentially igniting a parabolic breakout.
Thus, the narrative from Bailey and his circle emphasizes that the current price plateau is temporary—a temporary resistance created primarily by two dominant holders. Once these whales cease selling, Bitcoin's trajectory could sharply ascend to new heights.
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