The historical trends of TRON (TRX) serve as preliminary warnings before altcoin rallies.
The market analysis determines that there are three periods to the relationship between TRON and Bitcoin: correlation, divergence, and decorrelation.
Present market activity indicates a higher volume of trading and a slight recovery after the short-term price pressure.
TRON (TRX) has already become a potential leader in terms of altcoin market trends, especially whenever Bitcoin seems to enter the stage of consolidation. In a recent analysis exercise of a chart comparing TRON price and volume with the spot value of Bitcoin, a trend has been described that could enable the forecast of altseason, where altcoins are favored over Bitcoin in the case of an altseason. This trend can be categorized into three important stages in the market movement: compression, divergence, and decompression.
During the correlation phase, observed between March and May, TRON’s price closely mirrored Bitcoin’s. This suggested a synchronized market environment where both assets moved in tandem. Such correlation typically reflects broader market stability. However, from June through July, TRON began to diverge, outperforming Bitcoin’s price movement. Historical trends from 2017 and 2021 suggest that similar divergences have preceded altcoin rallies, where capital rotates from Bitcoin to other digital assets.
Divergence as a Potential Altseason Indicator
The divergence observed in TRON’s price action indicates increasing investor interest in altcoins. As TRON surged ahead of Bitcoin during the mid-year period, it may have signaled the beginning of broader altcoin momentum. Analysts point to previous cycles where similar behavior marked the transition into an altseason, often after Bitcoin’s price had settled into a period of low volatility.
TRON as an Altseason Indicator
“Historically, bitcoin's consolidation has been followed by altseasons, as seen in 2017 and 2021 cycles, when altcoins surged after bitcoin momentarily stabilized.” – By @oinonen_t pic.twitter.com/nNdp1ff3Jm
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) July 22, 2025
From August onward, TRON entered a decorrelation phase. This phase involved erratic movements compared to Bitcoin, suggesting a shift away from direct price influence. The decorrelation may reflect changing investor behavior, possibly due to profit-taking or evolving altcoin narratives. It also highlights how altcoins may begin reacting to market dynamics independent of Bitcoin’s direction.
TRON Sees Surge in Trading Volume Amid Price Dip and Market Rebound
According to the last figures, TRON is currently exchanging at a price of $0.3113, indicating its daily loss of 1.05%. Even though the decrease was minimal, 24-hour trading volume grew by almost 33 percent to the level of $1.42 billion. Such a rise indicates the greater interest of investors and their possible redirection of interest towards or against the market. Its market cap is at 29.49 billion today, and there is an almost full supply of circulating assets in the market.
The intraday chart indicates that there is a visible decline with a slight improvement. Market cap has also dropped to about 29.2 billion, but it has recovered to 29.51 billion. Such a flow would indicate a short-term span of investor risk aversion, and this may be motivated by profit-taking or a response to markets in general. Nonetheless, the significant trading volume can also signal interest in the TRON in the long run, particularly among traders following altseason signals.
<p>The post TRON as the Altseason Compass: Reading the Signals Before the Surge first appeared on Coin Crypto Newz.</p>
