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0xelonmoney
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altszn is coming 👀
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Why did the price drop? Analyzing the spot order book and CVD on @kiyotaka_ai, we can observe that during the recent price rise to 107,700, the spot CVD did not increase, indicating that new buy orders were fully absorbed by sellers. Additionally, examining Open Interest, we see it did not rise alongside the price. Instead, Open Interest decreased, signaling the closure of positions, a bearish indicator suggesting the move was primarily a short squeeze rather than a genuine bullish trend. Additionally, a strong wall of limit orders at 108k was clearly visible. All these factors combined indicated an impending price drop.
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$HYPE Update Currently trading slightly above key confluent VWAP levels (30D VWAP at 37.53 and pWeek VWAP at 37.29), establishing short-term bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: Maintain support above the 30D and pWeek VWAP (37.3–37.5) for continuation upward targeting 38.17 (dQuarter VAH) and potentially higher toward monthly extremes (~40). Bearish Scenario: Rejection back below 37.3 opens downside toward 7D VWAP at 36.17 and possibly lower toward weekly value area lows around 35.2–35.3. Trade Plan: Maintain long bias above 37.3, targeting 38.17 initially. Short bias resumes below VWAP confluence at 37.3, targeting 36.17.
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$SOL Update Solana reclaimed key VWAP levels, notably breaking above the pivotal 90D rolling VWAP at 143.5, shifting short-term momentum bullish. Bullish Scenario: Maintain support at 90D VWAP (143.5); continuation to 149.6 (dMonth VWAP) and potentially toward the 152.1–154 (pWeek VAH/pYear VWAP) resistance zone. Bearish Scenario: Loss of 90D VWAP likely results in a pullback toward 140.5 (dMonth VAL) and subsequently 138.5 (7D VWAP). Trade Plan: Long bias if 143.5 holds, targeting higher resistance. Flip short on clear rejection above 149.6–152.1.
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$BTC Update $BTC has aggressively reclaimed the key levels at 7D and 30D VWAP (102.8k and 104.4k, respectively). Immediate bullish continuation hinges on acceptance above the 30D VWAP (104.4k) towards the next key resistance at 16-day CVAH (105.7k). Bullish scenario: Consolidation and acceptance above 30D VWAP opens targets toward 106.3k (previous Weekly VAH), with potential rotation to the 4-day CVAH at 108.6k. Bearish scenario: Failure to hold above 104.0k (pMonth VWAP) risks retesting 102.8k (7D VWAP) and lower to 101.8k (16-day CVAL). Trade Plan: Long bias if 30D VWAP holds as support with confirmation of acceptance. Short opportunities upon failed break above 105.7k.
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don't fade VWAP levels, anon If this level is not breached upon retest, the price will again fall below 102k. Conversely, if broken upwards, the next target will be 104k.
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