CryptoAnalysis

$ETH at $4,557 – Will the bulls reclaim $4.7k, or is a deeper correction ahead?
1) Current Market Situation – 15.08.2025
$ETH is currently holding around $4,557, marking a clear pullback from yesterday’s highs near $4,788. The market is in a cautious waiting phase – bulls are defending key support levels while bears are trying to take advantage of the fading bullish momentum.
1H Timeframe
RSI: ~53 – No clear dominance; the market is balanced in a neutral zone.MACD: Flat setup, histogram near zero – indicating hesitation about the next direction.Volume: Moderate, clearly lower than during yesterday’s breakout candles, suggesting consolidation.Fibonacci (swing: $4,464 → $4,788):38.2% – $4,615 – first resistance for buyers (a break could trigger a rapid rally).50.0% – $4,626 – equilibrium level, often marking short-term trend direction.61.8% – $4,638 – a key technical level; holding above could strengthen bullish sentiment.
4H Timeframe
$ETH price remains above $4,550, acting as local support.RSI: ~56 – Slight bullish advantage, but without strong momentum.MACD: Positive, though the histogram is shrinking, signaling slowing upward momentum.The same Fibonacci levels are valid in the higher timeframe, confirming their importance.
2) Yesterday’s Recap – 14.08.2025
Thursday’s session brought a strong rally from $4,550 to around $4,788 (+5.1%), fueled by record inflows into ETH ETFs and growing optimism over Ethereum’s leading role in the smart contract space.
1H Chart
RSI: 60–65 – temporary overbought conditions.MACD: Strongly bullish, but started signaling possible correction toward the end of the day.Volume: Significant surge during breakout, followed by gradual decline during consolidation.
4H Chart
Attempt to break above $4,780–4,790 halted within that resistance zone.RSI: ~62 – bullish advantage, but showing signs of fatigue.MACD: Positive, yet histogram began contracting, hinting at slowing momentum.
3) Volume Analysis
Largest daily long liquidation: $348.9M – suggesting profit-taking among leveraged traders.Record ETF inflows: over $3B – confirming strong institutional demand despite short-term pullbacks.Current volume activity reflects a battle between long-term investors and short-term speculators – fundamentals still favor the bullish trend.
4) Forecast
Bullish scenario:
If ETH regains and holds $4,615–4,638 with rising volume, it could return to the $4,780–4,800 resistance zone, and a breakout here may open the way toward $4,900.
Bearish scenario:
A drop below $4,550 with increasing selling volume could lead to a test of $4,500, and if pressure continues – a move toward $4,450–4,400.
5) LONG Scenario
Entry: 1H candle close above $4,615Stop Loss: $4,550TP1: $4,780TP2: $4,900TP3: $5,000
Recommendation: Preferable if the breakout comes with volume clearly above the 7-day average and RSI >55.
6) SHORT Scenario
Entry: 1H candle close below $4,550Stop Loss: $4,600TP1: $4,500TP2: $4,450TP3: $4,400
Recommendation: Consider only if selling volume increases and RSI drops below 45.
#ETHUSDC #CandleTimes #Fibonacci #CryptoAnalysis #Volume
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Asset Overview
* Price: ~$362-$385, down ~6–7% on the day.
* Market Cap: ~$3.5B; Fully Diluted Valuation ~$8B. Circulating supply ~9.6M TAO.

Chart Structure & Price Behavior
1. BOS / CHoCH (Structure & Trend Shift)
* TAO has clearly shifted from a downtrend to uptrend via a Change of Character (CHoCH) when it decisively breached the mid-$300 range resistance with impulsive candles.
* Subsequent Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed when price held above the $350–$360 level, signaling buyer dominance.
2. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
* Primary Bullish FVG located around $320–$330 — key liquidity zone and potential support in case of retrace.
* IFVG near $350 — price retested this zone recently, showing demand equilibrium and supporting continuation.
3. Support & Resistance
* Support Zones:
* ~$350–$360 (former resistance, now support + IFVG alignment)
* ~$320–$330 (FVG sweet spot + structural pivot)
* Resistance Zones:
* Near ATH ~$758 — long-term target
* Intermediate resistance ~$420–$440
4. Technical Indicators
* Moving Averages (MA5–MA50) currently show bullish alignment; MA100/200 are above, but expected to flip if momentum sustains.
* RSI (~65) indicates healthy momentum with room to run, not yet overbought.

Trade Setup (High Probability)
Setup Type: Pullback into value zone
* Entry Zone: $355–$360 (FVG + structure support + overlap with MA confluence)
* Stop Loss: Below $345 (invalidates support & BOS)
🎯* Targets:
* TP1: $420 (near-term resistance)
* TP2: $450–$480 (next leg into prior swing zone)
Risk Management: Limit exposure to 1–2% of portfolio. Enter with position sizing within key zone; anticipate volatility around target zone.

Bullish Thesis Summary
* Structural bullish shift confirmed via CHoCH + BOS.
* Orderflow and liquidity suggests continued momentum, with FVG and support zones likely to act as launching pads.
* Medium-term bias remains bullish — a retest of $350 is an opportunity, not a breakdown.

🎀MY POV:
TAO is in active accumulation mode with structural layers intact. A disciplined entry at liquidity zones can yield high risk-adjusted returns. Continually monitor volume and price response in this range.
Let me know if you'd like a marked chart with BOS, FVG, and trade levels — or customized alerts when TAO hits entry zone.


#TAO #BittensorTAO #CryptoTrading #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #AltcoinSetup #PriceAction #CryptoAnalysis #FVG #CHoCH #TradeSetup

Current Price: ~4,603 

After reaching as high as4,788, $ETH has experienced a minor correction. However, short-term indicators still suggest strength in the bullish trend.
📈 Technical Snapshot
- EMA Trend: The 5-period EMA (~4,607) remains above the 10-period EMA (4,470) — a clear sign of continued short-term bullishness.
- RSI & StochRSI: RSI hovering near 70 and StochRSI above 92 indicates overbought territory — some cooling or sideways movement is likely.
- MACD: Positive momentum is sustained, with DIF (~258.6) above DEA (~206.4), supporting the bullish trend.
🔍 Possible Scenarios (Next 12 Hours
1. Bullish Breakout
   - If $ETH holds above 4,650 and breaks through4,700

   - Target: Near-term upside toward 4,80
2. Sideways Action

   - If $ETH ranges between4,550 and 4,650

   - Consolidation phase may follow recent gains
3. Short-Term Pullback
   - If momentum fades and price drops below4,550

   - Watch for support near 4,500
🎯 Critical Price Zones
- Support: 

  Primary:4,550–4,600 

  Secondary:4,500

[15/08, 6:46 pm] ChatGPT: - Resistance: 

  Near-Term: 4,650–4,700 

  Breakout Target: ~4,800
🧠 Market Sentiment     Context
- ETH has just marked a 4-year high (4,666)
- Institutional interest rising — over 500M inflows via ETF (Aug 12)
- Analysts projecting5,200+ based on MVRV models
📝 My Takeaway
- Short-Term Bias: Bullish, with caution
- Key Levels: Watch 4,550–4,700 closely for momentum clues
- Strategy: Consider entries near support, avoid chasing highs without confirmation
- Risk Note: Overbought conditions could trigger consolidation or a quick dip — manage your risk accordingly.
📢 Not financial advice. DYOR and manage positions wisely — especially near all-time highs. 

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare #DeFi #ETH5K

$XLM consolidates around $0.429 — Will the bulls retest $0.44, or will consolidation continue?
1) Current Market Situation – 15.08.2025
Currently, $XLM (Stellar) is trading near $0.4288, holding in the mid-range of the consolidation zone formed in recent sessions between $0.418 and $0.44. The market appears to be waiting for an impulse — either from macroeconomic data or from large players (whales) visible in the order books.
1H Timeframe
RSI (~52) – neutral, with no signs of overbought or oversold conditions, confirming the short-term balance.MACD – signal lines are very close together, histogram almost flat, indicating limited volatility and a lack of directional momentum.Moving Averages (EMA 50 & 200) – price is positioned between both averages, reflecting the suspended state between short- and mid-term trends.Fibonacci (swing: $0.42 → $0.44):38.2% – $0.432 – first significant resistance; a breakout above this level on increased volume could trigger a mini-rally.50% – $0.434 – equilibrium level where a brief supply-demand battle often occurs.61.8% – $0.436 – the classic “golden level”; breaking above could significantly increase the odds of an attack on $0.44.
4H Timeframe
RSI (~56) – slight advantage for buyers, but no clear euphoria signal.MACD – still positive, but histogram is shrinking, suggesting a possible pause after the earlier bounce from $0.418.EMA 200 – still below price, giving the bulls a mid-term advantage.Fibonacci levels confirm the same zones as on 1H — the more timeframes respect them, the stronger they become.
2) Yesterday’s Recap – 14.08.2025
Yesterday, $XLM tested the $0.44 area before gradual profit-taking brought the price back down to around $0.428–$0.43. The move was moderate but technically important — confirming that $0.44 remains a short-term barrier.
1H Timeframe
RSI in the 55–60 range — indicating buyers had the upper hand for most of the day.MACD positive but showing signs of fading momentum after reaching a local high.Volume spiked during the breakout, then decreased during the pullback — a classic “push and fade” pattern.
4H Timeframe
Support formed in the $0.428–$0.43 area held firmly.RSI (~57) stayed in mild overbought territory, showing the market was more inclined to buy than sell.MACD remained in positive territory, though histogram growth slowed considerably.
3) Volume Analysis
Looking at the last 48 hours of volume:
$0.44–$0.45 zone — noticeable surge in activity, indicating stronger seller presence defending this resistance.$0.418–$0.42 zone — relatively high volume on bounces, suggesting active buying interest in this support zone.Recent volume bars are smaller than the 7-day average, signaling a lack of strong market impulse.
4) Outlook
Bullish scenario:
Holding $0.428 and breaking through $0.432–$0.434 could open the path toward $0.44, and if broken, $0.45–$0.46.Increasing volume during such a move will be the key confirmation.
Bearish scenario:
Dropping below $0.418 with confirming sell volume could lead to a test of $0.41, or even $0.40.
5) LONG Scenario
Entry: 1H candle close above $0.432Stop Loss: $0.427TP1: $0.44TP2: $0.45TP3: $0.46
Recommendation: This scenario is preferred if breakout volume is significantly higher than the 7-day average and RSI on 1H is above 55. Confirmation of bullish strength could result in a swift move toward $0.44 and higher.
6) SHORT Scenario
Entry: 1H candle close below $0.418Stop Loss: $0.423TP1: $0.415TP2: $0.412TP3: $0.41
Recommendation: Consider only with increased sell volume and RSI on 1H below 45. Without volume confirmation, a drop may turn into a false breakout.
#XLMUSDC #CandleTimes #Fibonacci #CryptoAnalysis #Volume
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$KERNEL stabilizes around 0.205 – Will the bulls push toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, or is consolidation ahead?
1) Yesterday’s Summary – August 13, 2025
1H Timeframe
$KERNEL traded within the 0.2035 – 0.2202 USD range, with the 0.2035 USD support effectively halting declines. After bouncing from this area, the price moved toward resistance.
RSI remained between 50–55, indicating balanced market sentiment.MACD stayed flat – no strong momentum to anchor a trend.Volume was moderate, with a clear increase when approaching the upper range — a sign of potential accumulation by buyers.
4H Timeframe
The 0.2035 USD level acted as solid medium-term support. Each attempt to break lower ended in a rebound.
RSI around ~56 – slight bullish advantage.MACD in the positive zone; lines remain separated, suggesting potential for an upward continuation.Volume increased during resistance tests – a sign of growing buying interest.
Fibonacci (swing from Aug 13: 0.2035 → 0.2202 USD):
38.2%: 0.2104 USD50.0%: 0.21185 USD61.8%: 0.2133 USD1.618 ext: 0.2400 USD
2) Current Situation – August 14, 2025
$KERNEL Current Price: ~0.2052 USD, placing it below key Fibonacci retracement levels but still above the 0.2035 USD support.
1H Timeframe
RSI: ~52 — slight bullish bias.MACD: neutral — market in a wait-and-see phase.Volume: moderate — no decisive push from either side.
4H Timeframe
Price has managed to hold above 0.2035 USD.RSI: ~56 — bullish advantage remains.MACD: positive — sideways-to-bullish structure.No reversal formations detected — bulls still have the upper hand.
Fibonacci (swing from Aug 14: 0.2035 → 0.2202 USD):
38.2%: 0.2104 USD50%: 0.21185 USD61.8%: 0.2133 USD1.618 ext: 0.2400 USD
3) Volume Analysis
Pullbacks occurred with low volume — suggesting lack of strong selling pressure.Tests of upper levels (0.2202) triggered increased buying activity — potential accumulation.Still missing a strong volume surge to confirm an upward breakout.
4) Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
Holding above 0.2133 USD and breaking 0.2202 USD with rising volume could push the price toward 0.2300 USD, then 0.2400 USD (1.618 ext), and if momentum persists — 0.2450–0.2500 USD.
Bearish Scenario:
Dropping below 0.2035 USD with high volume could lead to declines toward 0.2000 USD, then 0.1960 USD if selling pressure continues.
5) LONG Setup
Entry: After 1H close above 0.2202 USDStop Loss: 0.2133 USDTP1: 0.2300 USDTP2: 0.2400 USD (1.618 ext)TP3: 0.2500 USD
Rationale: Entry confirmed by breakout, SL placed below demand zone, profits taken in stages.
6) SHORT Setup
Entry: After 1H close below 0.2035 USDStop Loss: 0.2133 USDTP1: 0.2000 USDTP2: 0.1960 USDTP3: 0.1900 USD
Rationale: Entry after losing key support, with tight risk management.
#KERNELUSDC #CandleTimes #Fibonacci #Volume #CryptoAnalysis
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1️⃣ Current Setup
Price is bouncing from $0.680 – $0.703 support zone
Volume and momentum remain healthy
2️⃣ Immediate Resistance
$0.792 – $0.820 → Possible rejection zone; price may retrace if it fails to break
3️⃣ Bullish Scenario
Break above $0.820 (with strong confirmation) opens the path toward $0.900
4️⃣ Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below $0.680 support:
• Wait for a retest before entry
• Next major support: $0.550 – $0.600
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📌 Summary:
$ENA is showing a short-term bounce with strong momentum. Watch $0.792 – $0.820 for breakout or rejection. Keep a close eye on $0.680 support for downside risk.
#ENA #CryptoAnalysis #TradingSetup
$ENA