AnwarRassool

🔍 Key Facts / What’s Known
Launch info: Trading for MIRA opens on Binance on September 26, 2025 at 12:00 UTC with pairs like USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, TRY. Deposit open from Sept. 25.
Airdrop: Binance is doing a HODLer Airdrop of 20 million MIRA to eligible BNB holders, etc.
Tokenomics:
Total supply: 1,000,000,000 MIRA.
Circulating at genesis is about 19.12% of total.
Airdrop allocation ~6%.
Various allocations (investors, core contributors, ecosystem, etc.) with vesting schedules.
Project / Mission:
MIRA is positioning itself as a “trust / verification layer” for AI outputs — trying to reduce hallucinations, bias, etc., by having verification via a decentralized consensus or cross-model system.
Part of the larger push around AI + blockchain credibility. Big names and backers involved.
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💬 Sentiment & Trends

Sentiment is very bullish right now.
A lot of attention in crypto media about MIRA’s listing, the airdrop, its AI verification mission.

There are multiple exchange listings being announced (Spot, Futures) which usually generate hype + volume.

People are projecting potential short-term gains because of low circulation initially, plus strong narrative (AI trust, verification). But there's also awareness of vesting / unlock risks.
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⚠️ Risks & Things to Watch
Low circulating supply (19%) means that large locked allocations or vesting can introduce downward pressure once those tokens unlock. If big holders or ecosystem/stake-rewards start selling, price might dip.
Launch hype often leads to high volatility; slippage may be large, spreads wide, and pump-and-dump risk is higher at new listings.
Resistance will likely be found early, especially after initial pump. If market doesn’t follow through, retrace might be sharp.
Lack of historical trading data for futures makes predicting movement harder; leverage risk is real.
👍 / 👎 Long vs Short at Launch
Here are what going Long or Short might look like, with pros & cons.
Strategy Pros (if it works) Cons / Risks
Going Long at Launch • You capture the initial hype + momentum. <br> • Low initial supply + strong narrative can push price up sharply. <br> • Airdrop / listing event tends to draw buyers. • Very likely to see volatile spikes + reversals. <br> • If price gets rejected early, losses can be big. <br> • Leverage magnifies risk. <br> • Early sell pressure from holders or unlocked allocations.
Going Short at Launch • If price runs up too fast and gets overbought, you can profit from a fade or correction. <br> • Good risk/reward if you can spot weaker resistance or technical rejections. • If market momentum is strong, you’ll likely get squeezed. <br> • Shorting at launch is risky due to wide spread + volatility. <br> • Potential of high slippage, liquidation if price spikes suddenly.
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🎯 My Take: What Might Be Best
If I were in your shoes:
I’d lean long initially because hype + listing + airdrop + high interest tend to push price upward at launch. But with small size, tight risk control.
Perhaps take partial profits quickly (maybe after first 20-50% gain), then let part run.
Or use a hybrid strategy: start long, but set a short-term stop-loss / maybe even a short hedge in case of rejection.

#ASTER🚀
✅ If your position is still open:

You can add more size on retracements (called adding on dips) without closing your main position.

This lets you keep your core entry intact while also building more exposure at good levels.

⚠️ What to watch:

Don’t over-leverage when adding. Even if your margin ratio looks safe now .adding too much size during a retrace could bring liquidation risk closer.

Wait for confirmation of a bounce — for example, a strong green candle off support, not just the first dip.

Set staggered take-profits (e.g. 2.5, 3.5, 5, 6) so you’re banking along the way while still holding for the moonshot.

📊 Since you’re aiming for 5–6, scaling in carefully on healthy pullbacks makes sense — but treat your current position as your “golden ticket.” Don’t risk it all trying to overbuild.
📉 Support & Resistance / Key Levels

Level Type Price Notes / Importance

Strong Resistance $2.00 Critical psychological & technical barrier. Quants are watching reaction here.
Resistance Below That ~$1.95-$1.94 Recent peak; price has pulled back from this area.
Resistance Zone ~$1.64 An area identified by analysts as intermediate resistance.
Entry / Support Zone $1.41-$1.43 Many people see this as a “bounce here if price dips” zone. Good for adding.
Strong Support $1.33 Key level—if broken, it may invalidate the current bullish structure.
Lower Support if Things Get Ugly ~$1.20-$1.12 Seen in some projections (wave-C / deep retrace scenario) as worst case.

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🔁 What Charts / Sentiment Are Saying

ASTER pulled back from ~$1.94 peak, found support at ~$1.33 and $1.40 during corrections.

The 50-period SMA (on 1-hour) around $1.50-$1.51 is being treated as resistance/marker. If ASTER breaks above that with strength, momentum may resume upward.

Candlestick wicks / long tails on both upside & downside in short-term charts show indecision: sellers step in near resistance, buyers defend support.

Analyst reports warn of possible deeper correction if resistance at ~$2 rejects strongly, or if support at ~$1.33 fails.

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🎯 Strategy: Where to Add More (If Position Still Open)

Since you want to hold until $5-$6, you could scale in more conservatively at retrace zones with confirmation. Here are possible scaling-in points + stop ideas:

Scale-in Level What to Look For Stop / Risk Control

Zone A: ~$1.50-$1.45 If price dips into this zone and you see a strong bounce (good green candle, rising volume, low wick on bottom) Tight stop below ~$1.40 (maybe ~1.35-1.30)
Zone B: ~$1.41-$1.43** (strong support) This is your safer entry for more scale-ins. If it holds, good risk-reward. Stop below $1.33
Zone C: If worse, ~$1.33 only if strong support shows Only scale here if market sentiment still positive and other indicators (volume, open interest) support it. Stop just below $1.30; small size

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⚠️ Risks & Warning

Big holders / whales control much supply. They can cause sharp drop if they sell.

Market feels overbought / greedy in many reports. That means risk of pullback before next leg.

Resistance at ~$2 is tough. If price reaches that
and fails, expect retrace back to support zones.

📊 Desglose Técnico
🔹 30M & 1H
RSI: Alrededor de 45 (neutral, ligeramente sobrevendido recientemente) → sugiere que la presión de venta se ha enfriado, ya no está sobrevendido.
Precio: Actualmente consolidando alrededor de 1.44–1.45 tras el rechazo de 1.695.
Tendencia: Lateral → parece que el precio está tratando de construir una base (zona de soporte 1.40–1.45).
🔹 4H
RSI: 73 → todavía en territorio de sobrecompra, momento fuerte pero vulnerable a una corrección más profunda.
Estructura: Fuerte tendencia alcista → retroceso desde el máximo de $2.02 a 1.44 (≈28% de corrección).