💥 What’s Really Happening in the Markets Right Now (And why the “Bitcoin is too volatile” argument looks weak) Bitcoin snapshot: ~$82,200 Despite the noise, BTC is showing relatively modest intraday moves compared to what we’re seeing elsewhere. 📉 Precious Metals Just Had a Violent Reality Check Recent market data confirms an extreme volatility event in gold and silver: Silver collapsed roughly 15–17% in a single session, its steepest drop in more than a decade. Gold fell 7–9%, marking its worst one-day selloff since 2013. Both metals were trading near record highs just hours earlier, making the reversal especially brutal. This wasn’t a slow bleed — it was a sharp, fast unwind. ⚡ What Triggered the Dump? Heavy profit-taking after blow-off rallies Markets pricing in a more hawkish Fed leadership outlook A stronger U.S. dollar triggering broad risk-off selling Classic positioning unwind — just at a massive scale. 📊 So About That “35% / 15% in 30 Hours” Claim Exact numbers vary by source, but the takeaway is clear: Gold and silver experienced historic short-term volatility, with silver moving far beyond its normal range and gold printing its largest drop in years. On a short time horizon, these moves rival — and in some cases exceed — Bitcoin’s usual percentage swings. Volatility Comparison: Bitcoin vs. Metals Bitcoin: Yes, volatile — but currently trading within its historical norms. Daily moves of ~5–7% are nothing unusual for BTC. Gold & Silver: Double-digit percentage drops in a single session are extremely rare. This ranks among the most violent metals selloffs in over a decade. The Bigger Point Labeling Bitcoin as “too volatile” ignores reality. When sentiment flips, every market can move violently — even those traditionally viewed as safe and stable $BTC $BNB $SOL
JUST IN: El presidente Trump dice que el candidato a presidente de la Reserva Federal, Kevin Warsh, reducirá las tasas "sin ninguna presión $BTC $ETH $BNB
$FIL is pushing into a strong resistance zone after a short bounce, but upside momentum is clearly weakening. Buyers are struggling near the highs, and every push up is being met with selling pressure. As long as price stays below the recent high, the structure favors a pullback rather than a breakout. Short $FIL (Scalp) Entry Zone: 1.18 – 1.20 Stop Loss: 1.22 TP1: 1.16 TP2: 1.14 Potential: 100% – 500% Leverage: 20x – 40x Margin: 1% – 3% Book partial profits at TP1 and move stop-loss to breakeven. $FIL
$STABLE — HECHO ✅ Entrado corto alrededor de 0.0247 Venta rápida, sin rebote TP2 alcanzado en 0.0232 Cerrado cerca de 0.0234 💰 Todo el comercio envuelto en < 30 minutos — pura presión de venta, scalp de manual. ❌ $STABLE totalmente cerrado ⏳ $FRAX & $IP cortos aún en ejecución (gestiona SLs adecuadamente)
THE U.S. GOVERNMENT WILL SHUT DOWN IN 12 HOURS You need to understand the risk we’re walking into at midnight. When 80% of the government shuts down, the agencies that calculate the numbers we trade on are shut down too. This is a data blackout. Here’s what disappears: – The Jobs Report (NFP): The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is part of the shutdown. If this drags on, the monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report gets delayed. – Inflation Data (CPI/PPI): The data collectors for the Consumer Price Index stop working. This means we won't know if inflation is going up or down. – GDP & PCE: The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) typically halts operations, meaning no GDP updates and no PCE (the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge). – CFTC Reports: The "Commitment of Traders" (CoT) report, which tells us how the big money is positioned, stops coming out. – The SEC halts mostly everything except emergency enforcement. – IPO & M&A Stalled: New IPOs and merger reviews get put on hold. If you’re waiting for a deal approval, good luck. – Historically, shutdowns shave about 0.1% to 0.2% off GDP growth for every week they last. The longer this lasts, the more the "uncertainty discount" gets priced into stocks. I’ll be monitoring the market to see what happens during this blackout. Btw, i called every market top and bottom of the last decade, and i’ll call my next move publicly as usual. Many people will wish they followed me sooner.
You need to understand the risk we’re walking into at midnight.
When 80% of the government shuts down, the agencies that calculate the numbers we trade on are shut down too.
This is a data blackout.
Here’s what disappears:
– The Jobs Report (NFP): The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is part of the shutdown. If this drags on, the monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report gets delayed.
– Inflation Data (CPI/PPI): The data collectors for the Consumer Price Index stop working. This means we won't know if inflation is going up or down.
– GDP & PCE: The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) typically halts operations, meaning no GDP updates and no PCE (the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge).
– CFTC Reports: The "Commitment of Traders" (CoT) report, which tells us how the big money is positioned, stops coming out.
– The SEC halts mostly everything except emergency enforcement.
– IPO & M&A Stalled: New IPOs and merger reviews get put on hold. If you’re waiting for a deal approval, good luck.
– Historically, shutdowns shave about 0.1% to 0.2% off GDP growth for every week they last.
The longer this lasts, the more the "uncertainty discount" gets priced into stocks.
I’ll be monitoring the market to see what happens during this blackout.
Btw, i called every market top and bottom of the last decade, and i’ll call my next move publicly as usual.
Many people will wish they followed me sooner. $BTC $BNB $SOL
ADVERTENCIA: ¡EL SISTEMA SE ESTÁ COLAPSANDO EN TIEMPO REAL!
ADVERTENCIA: ¡EL SISTEMA SE ESTÁ COLAPSANDO EN TIEMPO REAL!! ORO: -12% EN 1 DÍA PLATA: -24% EN 1 DÍA Acerca de $15 BILLONES acaban de ser eliminados. Eso es ~5 veces más grande que la capitalización total del mercado de criptomonedas. Y sí, más de $500 mil millones pueden haber sido liquidadas en metales en papel, futuros, ETFs y apalancamiento relacionado. Un verdadero colapso de oro del 10%+ en 1 día básicamente no sucede. El colapso más limpio en los últimos 20 años fue en abril de 2013. Ahora aquí está la parte que nadie quiere decir en voz alta. Este movimiento parece MANIPULADO. Porque movimientos como este no suceden en un mercado "normal".