After a brief surge toward $116,000, Bitcoin’s momentum appears to be fading as selling pressure increases around key resistance zones. Some analysts warn that BTC could soon retest its early October lows before establishing a clearer trend for Q4 2025.

Bitcoin Loses Steam at Major Supply Zone

On October 13, Bitcoin (BTC) suddenly rallied 5.84%, reaching an intraday high of $115,963, marking an impressive rebound from the $109,500 low just a day earlier.

However, the excitement quickly faded once BTC entered the critical $115,300–$117,000 supply area, where strong selling pressure emerged. The price has since retreated more than 3.5%, hovering around $111,800 at press time.

Technical analysts note that $117,000 is now the key inflection point. Failing to break and hold above this level could lead BTC to retrace toward the $108,000 region. Conversely, turning $117,000 into solid support could mark the beginning of a new bullish phase.

Massive Stablecoin Inflows Signal Imminent Volatility

While Bitcoin struggles below resistance, on-chain data reveal intriguing movements beneath the surface.

According to CryptoQuant Insights, analyst Amr Taha reported that Binance recently recorded over $590 million USDT inflows via the TRON (TRX) network — a figure notably higher than recent averages.

This capital influx coincided precisely with Bitcoin’s breakout above $115,000, suggesting increased buying activity. Simultaneously, whale wallets holding over $100 million have become more active, hinting that the market is bracing for a major volatility event in either direction.

> “Current on-chain signals point to a period of strong price swings ahead. The next move will depend on how this new liquidity reacts,” — Amr Taha, CryptoQuant.

Meanwhile, CryptoOnchain observed a sharp rise in stablecoin activity on Ethereum, particularly on derivatives exchanges — indicating that many traders are using margin to catch potential bottoms.

While this shows confidence among bulls, it also raises the risk of liquidation sweeps if prices turn sharply lower.

60–75% Chance Bitcoin Will Retest Its Bottom

According to Joao Wedson, CEO and founder of the analytics platform Alphractal, there’s a 60–75% probability that Bitcoin will revisit the low established on October 10.

He cautioned that a short-term pullback remains likely, especially as market sentiment leans overly optimistic.

> “Traders should prepare for deeper corrections. However, if Bitcoin can break and sustain above $117,000, the trend could quickly flip bullish,” — Joao Wedson, Alphractal.

Altcoin Market: Chaos and Opportunity for the Brave

Beyond Bitcoin, the altcoin market faces even greater turbulence. On October 10 alone, many mid-cap and small-cap tokens plunged 40–70% within hours, leaving dip-buyers exposed to severe volatility.

Yet amid the pessimism, some analysts see potential silver linings.

On X (formerly Twitter), market analyst DarkFost noted:

> “The best time to accumulate altcoins is when no one wants to look at them anymore.”

Currently, only about 10% of altcoins listed on Binance are trading above their 200-day moving average (MA200) — a sign of widespread market apathy, but also a window of opportunity for patient, long-term investors.

However, DarkFost also warned that not every altcoin deserves attention: most tend to underperform Bitcoin over time and struggle to maintain strength across multiple market cycles.

Therefore, investors should DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and focus only on projects with solid fundamentals, transparent teams, and strong liquidity to capitalize on potential rebounds.

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Bottom Line:

Bitcoin is entering a critical phase — it must either break above $117,000 to ignite a new rally or retest its October lows before stabilizing.

Regardless of direction, one thing is clear: major volatility is coming.