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$BTC has never recorded three straight green monthly closes during a bear market year (2014, 2018, 2022).
With March and April already closing in the green, history suggests May could break the streak and turn red if the pattern holds.
#TrumpSaysIranConflictHasEnded
With March and April already closing in the green, history suggests May could break the streak and turn red if the pattern holds.
#TrumpSaysIranConflictHasEnded
$RENDER is currently trying to reclaim the 4H trend resistance just above price, while also sitting just under the daily 200 EMA.
If we break and hold above the $2 level, there’s room for a move toward the $3 region.
The structure isn’t the cleanest, but the broader trend strength is what stands out right now and it could still be setting up for a potential breakout.
If we break and hold above the $2 level, there’s room for a move toward the $3 region.
The structure isn’t the cleanest, but the broader trend strength is what stands out right now and it could still be setting up for a potential breakout.
Over the next few days I’ll refine the levels, but for now $BTC is sitting right at the key invalidation point for the Wave C setup around $76,985.
Typically, a break into lower lows would invalidate this structure, but at the moment there’s still no clean confirmation either way.
If price holds here and pushes higher, the structure likely shifts into a broader corrective phase where a better buying zone forms later. If it breaks down strongly instead, that would point to a more impulsive move lower.
Either way, I still lean toward lower prices eventually. At this stage it’s essentially a 50/50 setup, so I’d rather wait for clearer structure to form.
For downside, a clean breakdown could open a move below $60K. If we instead see another corrective push up, $72K–$70K may become the next key area of interest.
For now, I’m staying patient and mostly inactive on BTC.
#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
Typically, a break into lower lows would invalidate this structure, but at the moment there’s still no clean confirmation either way.
If price holds here and pushes higher, the structure likely shifts into a broader corrective phase where a better buying zone forms later. If it breaks down strongly instead, that would point to a more impulsive move lower.
Either way, I still lean toward lower prices eventually. At this stage it’s essentially a 50/50 setup, so I’d rather wait for clearer structure to form.
For downside, a clean breakdown could open a move below $60K. If we instead see another corrective push up, $72K–$70K may become the next key area of interest.
For now, I’m staying patient and mostly inactive on BTC.
#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
$ZEC has now broken out through both the descending trendline and the $540 macro resistance, marking a cleaner structural shift in price action.
It has also reclaimed the prior lower high around $560, which now becomes an important level to hold as support. If that level holds, the next area to watch is the $590–$600 region.
If it fails, attention likely rotates back to $540 again.
From a risk/reward perspective, the clearer setups remain either a breakout above $640 or a retest of $540 with invalidation below that zone. The middle range still looks more like chop than trend.
Overall, patience around support and resistance remains key rather than forcing entries in the middle of the range.
#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
It has also reclaimed the prior lower high around $560, which now becomes an important level to hold as support. If that level holds, the next area to watch is the $590–$600 region.
If it fails, attention likely rotates back to $540 again.
From a risk/reward perspective, the clearer setups remain either a breakout above $640 or a retest of $540 with invalidation below that zone. The middle range still looks more like chop than trend.
Overall, patience around support and resistance remains key rather than forcing entries in the middle of the range.
#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
$BTC Another reason I don’t view this as a traditional bear flag.
In most bear flag structures, the consolidation phase is usually much smaller than the original breakdown, often around half the size of the flagpole, and they typically resolve within 4–5 weeks.
That’s not really what we’re seeing here.
This structure has evolved into something much larger, with price continuing to rotate inside a broader multi-month ascending channel rather than forming a tight continuation setup.
Because of that, if a larger breakdown eventually happens, it would likely develop more gradually instead of the fast directional move normally associated with classic bear flags.
#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
In most bear flag structures, the consolidation phase is usually much smaller than the original breakdown, often around half the size of the flagpole, and they typically resolve within 4–5 weeks.
That’s not really what we’re seeing here.
This structure has evolved into something much larger, with price continuing to rotate inside a broader multi-month ascending channel rather than forming a tight continuation setup.
Because of that, if a larger breakdown eventually happens, it would likely develop more gradually instead of the fast directional move normally associated with classic bear flags.
#Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
$ZEC is pushing into a key structural area right now.
Price is still trading inside the same descending channel that has controlled the correction for weeks, while continuing to form lower highs near resistance.
We’ve also seen multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $540 macro resistance, so despite this current breakout attempt through both trendline and macro resistance, the chart is still technically operating under a lower high structure.
That’s important because ZEC has already produced several Type 2 distributions during this correction, where price briefly reclaimed resistance, triggered breakout confirmation, attracted late longs, and then rolled over into another lower high.
For me, the real confirmation isn’t just reclaiming resistance, it’s whether ZEC can close above the $560 lower high pivot and start invalidating the corrective structure.
Until then, I’m still treating this move cautiously rather than assuming a full trend reversal.
#SECTokenizedStockExemption
Price is still trading inside the same descending channel that has controlled the correction for weeks, while continuing to form lower highs near resistance.
We’ve also seen multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $540 macro resistance, so despite this current breakout attempt through both trendline and macro resistance, the chart is still technically operating under a lower high structure.
That’s important because ZEC has already produced several Type 2 distributions during this correction, where price briefly reclaimed resistance, triggered breakout confirmation, attracted late longs, and then rolled over into another lower high.
For me, the real confirmation isn’t just reclaiming resistance, it’s whether ZEC can close above the $560 lower high pivot and start invalidating the corrective structure.
Until then, I’m still treating this move cautiously rather than assuming a full trend reversal.
#SECTokenizedStockExemption
🔥 Tom Lee says Ethereum’s drop below $2,200 presented a strong buying opportunity.
According to Lee, the dip allowed BitMine to accumulate another 71,672 $ETH at attractive levels.
BitMine now reportedly holds around 5.28M ETH, representing roughly 4.37% of the total supply, putting the firm just 0.63% away from reaching its 5% target.
#SECTokenizedStockExemption
According to Lee, the dip allowed BitMine to accumulate another 71,672 $ETH at attractive levels.
BitMine now reportedly holds around 5.28M ETH, representing roughly 4.37% of the total supply, putting the firm just 0.63% away from reaching its 5% target.
#SECTokenizedStockExemption
The timing behind this compression is what makes the setup so interesting 👀
While Japanese bond yields continue pushing higher and global liquidity conditions tighten, $XRP volatility keeps getting compressed beneath the surface.
Historically, these low-volatility phases never last forever. The longer the compression builds, the more aggressive the expansion phase usually becomes.
Markets may look calm right now, but structurally, there’s still a lot building underneath.
While Japanese bond yields continue pushing higher and global liquidity conditions tighten, $XRP volatility keeps getting compressed beneath the surface.
Historically, these low-volatility phases never last forever. The longer the compression builds, the more aggressive the expansion phase usually becomes.
Markets may look calm right now, but structurally, there’s still a lot building underneath.
The next retest of the $74–75K region could be one of the most important tests of this bear market.
That zone has built major structural importance over the last two years. In 2024, it acted as key resistance before $BTC finally broke out. In 2025, it became the macro higher low that launched the move toward cycle highs.
Now in 2026, the same region is acting as support again.
If BTC holds this level, the market may still have enough structural strength to stabilise and challenge the downtrend. But if it breaks, it could expose BTC to a much deeper move back toward the bear market lows.
#PolymarketInsiderTradingRevealed
That zone has built major structural importance over the last two years. In 2024, it acted as key resistance before $BTC finally broke out. In 2025, it became the macro higher low that launched the move toward cycle highs.
Now in 2026, the same region is acting as support again.
If BTC holds this level, the market may still have enough structural strength to stabilise and challenge the downtrend. But if it breaks, it could expose BTC to a much deeper move back toward the bear market lows.
#PolymarketInsiderTradingRevealed
🚨 The odds of Ethereum dropping below $2,000 have now flipped in favor of the bears.
Prediction markets are increasingly pricing in downside risk, with traders now assigning a 56% probability that $ETH falls below $2,000 before the end of the month.
#VerusBridgeHack11.58M
Prediction markets are increasingly pricing in downside risk, with traders now assigning a 56% probability that $ETH falls below $2,000 before the end of the month.
#VerusBridgeHack11.58M
One thing I’ve noticed with $ZEC over the past 6 months is how dependent the bigger moves have become on perp activity rather than spot demand.
Spot volume keeps making new lows while perp volume continues making new highs.
That’s usually not the structure you want to see in a sustainable expansion. It suggests the move is being driven more by leverage than fresh capital entering the market.
And when momentum shifts, leverage-driven moves tend to unwind aggressively because there isn’t enough spot demand underneath to absorb the flush.
We saw a similar setup around the December lower high near $540. Spot participation weakened while leverage kept expanding into the highs, and within 6 weeks, ZEC traded back toward $185.
Now a similar imbalance is starting to develop again, and I’ll be watching closely to see whether this move is backed by real demand or still vulnerable to another aggressive unwind.
#CanaryCapitalFilesStakedTRXETF
Spot volume keeps making new lows while perp volume continues making new highs.
That’s usually not the structure you want to see in a sustainable expansion. It suggests the move is being driven more by leverage than fresh capital entering the market.
And when momentum shifts, leverage-driven moves tend to unwind aggressively because there isn’t enough spot demand underneath to absorb the flush.
We saw a similar setup around the December lower high near $540. Spot participation weakened while leverage kept expanding into the highs, and within 6 weeks, ZEC traded back toward $185.
Now a similar imbalance is starting to develop again, and I’ll be watching closely to see whether this move is backed by real demand or still vulnerable to another aggressive unwind.
#CanaryCapitalFilesStakedTRXETF
$BTC is now trading inside this channel and still hasn’t managed to break above the golden pocket, which is where the strongest cluster of resistance sits.
At the same time, the chart did reclaim the Bull Market Support Band, which was an important recovery. Interestingly, this setup is starting to resemble BTC’s price action between March 27 and April 6, 2022.
If price loses the key support area around $75K, especially with a strong candle close below it, the market could quickly shift into a capitulation phase.
#JapaneseSecuritiesFirmsCryptoInvestmentTrusts
At the same time, the chart did reclaim the Bull Market Support Band, which was an important recovery. Interestingly, this setup is starting to resemble BTC’s price action between March 27 and April 6, 2022.
If price loses the key support area around $75K, especially with a strong candle close below it, the market could quickly shift into a capitulation phase.
#JapaneseSecuritiesFirmsCryptoInvestmentTrusts
📊 INSIGHT: If $BTC ultimately holds the $60K level as the cycle bottom, this would mark the shallowest bear market correction the asset has ever seen.
#BerkshireHeavilyIncreasesAlphabetStake
#BerkshireHeavilyIncreasesAlphabetStake
$RIVER looks like it may be building a long-term double bottom after months of heavy downside pressure.
Price has now defended the same support area twice near the lows, while the market starts stabilizing around the $7 range. Selling pressure appears to be fading, but bulls still need a convincing breakout to confirm a trend reversal.
If $RIVER can reclaim key resistance levels from here, this setup could turn into the base for a much larger recovery move. For now, it still looks like an accumulation phase with volatility staying elevated.
#BerkshireHeavilyIncreasesAlphabetStake
Price has now defended the same support area twice near the lows, while the market starts stabilizing around the $7 range. Selling pressure appears to be fading, but bulls still need a convincing breakout to confirm a trend reversal.
If $RIVER can reclaim key resistance levels from here, this setup could turn into the base for a much larger recovery move. For now, it still looks like an accumulation phase with volatility staying elevated.
#BerkshireHeavilyIncreasesAlphabetStake
🐋 INTERESTING: Large Cardano holders now control close to 67% of the total $ADA supply, marking the highest whale concentration seen since 2020.
#VitalikMovesETHviaPrivacyPools
#VitalikMovesETHviaPrivacyPools
$PUMP remains stuck inside a falling wedge pattern, with sellers still firmly controlling the price action for now. 📉
The recent recovery attempt near the upper resistance trendline got rejected quickly, pushing price back toward the lower support area around $0.00180. Bears continue to shut down every bounce aggressively.
A confirmed breakout above the wedge could shift momentum bullish very fast, but if current support breaks, another sharp downside move may follow.
#StriveQ1Results15009BTCHoldings
The recent recovery attempt near the upper resistance trendline got rejected quickly, pushing price back toward the lower support area around $0.00180. Bears continue to shut down every bounce aggressively.
A confirmed breakout above the wedge could shift momentum bullish very fast, but if current support breaks, another sharp downside move may follow.
#StriveQ1Results15009BTCHoldings
$HYPE continues to respect the broader rising wedge formation on the daily chart. 📈
After testing the lower trendline around the $38 region, price responded with a strong rebound back toward resistance, showing that buyers are still actively defending the structure. Bulls stepped in aggressively at support, keeping the channel intact for now. 👀
If price manages to break above the upper wedge resistance, it could open the door for another strong expansion move. On the other hand, losing the lower support trendline may lead to a deeper correction phase.
#VitalikMovesETHviaPrivacyPools
After testing the lower trendline around the $38 region, price responded with a strong rebound back toward resistance, showing that buyers are still actively defending the structure. Bulls stepped in aggressively at support, keeping the channel intact for now. 👀
If price manages to break above the upper wedge resistance, it could open the door for another strong expansion move. On the other hand, losing the lower support trendline may lead to a deeper correction phase.
#VitalikMovesETHviaPrivacyPools
📉 $BTC ETFs just posted their first weekly outflow after 6 straight weeks of inflows.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw around $290M in net outflows in a single day, marking the second-largest daily withdrawal recorded this month.
Weekly flows have now dropped to nearly -$1B overall, making it the biggest weekly outflow since January and ending the market’s six-week inflow streak.
#DuneCuts25%AmidAIEfficiencyPush
Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw around $290M in net outflows in a single day, marking the second-largest daily withdrawal recorded this month.
Weekly flows have now dropped to nearly -$1B overall, making it the biggest weekly outflow since January and ending the market’s six-week inflow streak.
#DuneCuts25%AmidAIEfficiencyPush
🔥 INSIGHT: XRP whales are still holding strong.
Wallets holding at least 10M $XRP now control around 45.83B XRP, valued at nearly $68.5B. That marks the highest whale holdings recorded since May 2018.
According to Santiment, these large holders now control roughly 68.5% of XRP’s total supply, a sign that major players are still heavily positioned rather than exiting the market.
#StriveQ1Results15009BTCHoldings
Wallets holding at least 10M $XRP now control around 45.83B XRP, valued at nearly $68.5B. That marks the highest whale holdings recorded since May 2018.
According to Santiment, these large holders now control roughly 68.5% of XRP’s total supply, a sign that major players are still heavily positioned rather than exiting the market.
#StriveQ1Results15009BTCHoldings
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