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Bhutan Utilizes Bitcoin Reserves to Offset Tourism Revenue Decline

According to Odaily, Bhutan is leveraging its mined Bitcoin to counteract the decline in tourism revenue and support government expenditures. The country currently holds approximately 12,000 BTC, which now constitutes 40% of its GDP. This significant reserve places Bhutan as the third-largest holder of Bitcoin globally.
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Bitcoin Treasury Companies Face Potential Challenges Amid Market Dynamics

According to Cointelegraph, a recent report from venture capital firm Breed highlights the potential challenges facing Bitcoin (BTC) treasury companies. The report suggests that only a few of these companies will withstand the "death spiral" that threatens those trading close to their net asset value (NAV), which is calculated as a business entity's total assets minus its liabilities. The report emphasizes that the sustainability of Bitcoin treasury companies depends on their ability to maintain a multiple of their net asset value (MNAV). Breed's analysis outlines a seven-phase decline for BTC treasury companies, beginning with a drop in Bitcoin's price that leads to a decrease in MNAV, causing a company's share price to approach its actual NAV. This situation complicates the ability of BTC holding companies to secure necessary debt and equity financing, which is crucial for converting the inflationary US dollar into a supply-capped appreciating asset. As credit access diminishes and debt maturity approaches, margin calls may force firms to sell BTC, further lowering its price and leading to consolidation among holding companies. This could potentially trigger a prolonged market downturn. The report notes that only a select few companies will maintain a lasting MNAV premium through strong leadership, disciplined execution, savvy marketing, and distinctive strategies that grow Bitcoin-per-share despite market fluctuations. The report also suggests that this "death spiral" could initiate the next crypto bear market. However, it points out that most BTC treasury companies currently finance their purchases with equity rather than debt, which may contain the potential implosion. The authors caution that the situation could change if debt financing becomes more prevalent than equity financing. Despite these challenges, Bitcoin treasury companies have become a significant trend in 2025. Michael Saylor's company, Strategy, has been purchasing Bitcoin since 2020, popularizing the BTC corporate treasury concept, which has gained considerable momentum over the past two years. Currently, over 250 organizations, including corporations, government entities, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), pension funds, and digital asset service providers, hold Bitcoin, according to BitcoinTreasuries.
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OTC Weekly Trading Insights (06/26/2025)

Overall Market Source: TradingViewThe above chart is the BTC price in the 8H candle chart at a log scale.In our previous report dated June 19, we highlighted the disconnect between strong capital inflows from ETFs and enterprises adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, and the narrow trading range exhibited by Bitcoin’s price. The muted volatility and lack of clear directional momentum raised our analysts’ concerns regarding Bitcoin’s near-term performance. We recommended two trading strategies under different scenarios: buying at support levels and selling at resistance levels.Last Friday, following missile launches by Iran, the market experienced a sharp decline amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin moved in tandem with other risk assets and closed lower on Friday. Over the weekend, while traditional markets were closed, the crypto market continued to operate 24/7. Market sentiment was fully reflected in Bitcoin’s price, which briefly dropped below $100,000 on June 22 after US President Trump confirmed that US military forces had destroyed three nuclear facilities in Iran. This military action caused some investor fears of a broader conflict between Iran and the US/Israel, and the risk-off sentiment pushed Bitcoin below its strong support level at $100,000, dipping into the $98,000 range. As we have emphasized previously, the $100,000 level remains a critical support zone, and Bitcoin quickly rebounded above this threshold as a result.Although Bitcoin snapped below $100,000 again on Monday following Iranian missile strikes on US military bases, market sentiment shifted bullish after Iran and Israel agreed to a ceasefire.Currently, Bitcoin is trading near the upper boundary of a bear flag pattern, as shown in the chart above. Our desk has observed over $1.4 billion in capital inflows into Bitcoin over the past three days; however, the price has failed to sustain bullish momentum and break out of this bear flag formation. This sets up a binary scenario for the coming days:Bullish Scenario: Bitcoin breaks above the downward trendline resistance of the bear flag, triggering follow-through buying and a potential surge toward the $112,000 level.Bearish Scenario: Market sentiment turns negative, and Bitcoin faces strong resistance around the $109,000 range, leading to a gradual decline back toward the $104,000 level over the weekend.Looking ahead, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data is scheduled for release this Friday. Following Fed Chair Powell’s testimony earlier this week, the market expects inflation to show limited immediate impact from tariffs, with effects becoming more apparent from June onward. Our desk believes that any Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will be more closely tied to developments in the US labor market rather than inflation metrics. Additionally, the US reciprocal tariffs have been paused by President Trump for 90 days, with the deadline approaching on July 9. We anticipate increased market volatility as this deadline nears.Our desk remains cautiously neutral on Bitcoin’s near-term price action. While significant capital inflows suggest underlying buying interest, the inability of the price to break key resistance levels signals persistent selling pressure. Traders should prepare for heightened volatility, with potential for either a breakout to the upside or a retracement toward support levels depending on evolving market sentiment and macroeconomic developments.Bitcoin ETF TrackerThe above table is the BTC spot ETF net inflow data in the past five trading sessions.Since Monday, June 23, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded over $1.4 billion in inflows, marking 12 consecutive days of net capital inflow despite the heightened geopolitical tensions experienced last Friday and over the weekend. Over the past 12 trading sessions, a total of $3.5 billion has flowed into Bitcoin and related digital asset classes, with the BTC price moving modestly from $105,000 to $106,000.Amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East during the weekend, Bitcoin’s price briefly dipped below $100,000 but quickly rebounded to around the $104,000 level. This decline followed missile launches attributed to Iran last Friday, which initially triggered the price drop.The strong capital inflows coupled with relatively muted price movement have heightened our analysts’ concerns regarding Bitcoin’s near-term performance. The disconnect between significant buying pressure and stagnant price action suggests that sellers currently dominate the market. Should the price continue to trade sideways despite sustained large ETF inflows, our analysts anticipate a surge in volatility, potentially leading to an explosive move in Bitcoin’s price.Macro at a glance Last Thursday (June 19, 2025)Australia reported a surprising decline in employment for May, with a drop of 2,500 jobs, contrary to analysts’ expectations of an increase of 20,600. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1% for the month.The Bank of England announced its interest rate decision, maintaining the policy rate at 4.25%. Governor Andrew Bailey signaled that a potential rate cut could occur as early as August, citing recent data that points to a weakening labor market.Last Friday (June 20, 2025)UK retail sales for May fell unexpectedly, registering a 1.3% year-over-year decline instead of the anticipated 1.7% increase. Core retail sales also decreased by 1.3%, missing the forecasted 1.8% growth.Monday (June 23, 2025)The US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for June was revised upward from 51.1 to 52.0, while the Services PMI was also revised higher from 52.9 to 53.1. These upward revisions reflect growing optimism among purchasing managers regarding the US economic outlook following recent tariff uncertainties.Tuesday (June 24, 2025)The US Consumer Confidence Index, as reported by the Conference Board, declined sharply from 98.4 in May to 93.0 in June, falling short of the forecasted 99.4.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered his semiannual testimony to Congress, reiterating a cautious “wait and see” stance on future interest rate adjustments.Wednesday (June 25, 2025)Chair Powell continued his testimony, noting that the impact of tariffs is expected to become more apparent from June onward. He also emphasized that the Federal Reserve still has some room to go with its balance sheet reduction.Why trade OTC?  Binance offers our clients various ways to access OTC trading, including chat communication channels and the Binance OTC platform (https://www.binance.com/en/otc) for manual price quotations, Algo Orders, or automated price quotations via Binance Convert and Block Trade platform (https://www.binance.com/en/convert) and the Binance Convert OTC API. Join our Telegram Channel (@BinanceOTCTrading) to stay up to date with the markets!
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Binance Research: Bitcoin Recovers From Geopolitical Shock, but Altcoin Season Still Out of Reach

Key Takeaways:Bitcoin rebounded above $107K after a volatile weekend sparked by Middle East tensions.Ethereum lagged behind, while BTC dominance remained high at ~66%.Altseason remains elusive as capital fails to rotate into smaller altcoins.Trump’s criticism of Fed Chair Powell pressured the US dollar, contributing to crypto strength.Analysts eye rate cuts and macro liquidity as potential catalysts ahead.Crypto Markets Stabilize After Middle East Tensions; Bitcoin Outperforms EthereumCryptocurrency markets faced sharp weekend volatility as geopolitical tensions flared between Iran and Israel, sending Bitcoin as low as $98,000. However, by midweek, BTC had reclaimed key support and now trades above $107,000, highlighting its resilience amid global uncertainty. Ethereum followed a similar trajectory but showed deeper downside and a weaker recovery.According to Binance Research, Bitcoin dropped 8.5% from Saturday to Monday before rebounding strongly, while Ethereum fell 17% before partially recovering. Despite the volatility, Bitcoin’s market dominance remained elevated, closing the week at approximately 66%.A BlackRock study cited by Binance Research noted Bitcoin’s historic strength after geopolitical events, averaging a 37% gain in the 60 days that follow. Whether this trend continues depends on macro conditions, including inflation, liquidity, and investor sentiment.Altcoin Season Delayed as Token Supply Dilutes Market RotationDespite Bitcoin’s recovery and a broader market rebound, altcoins have yet to experience a decisive breakout. Analysts point to a key structural shift: while Bitcoin wealth typically spills into altcoins during consolidation phases, the current cycle is diluted by a flood of new tokens and lack of fresh narratives.Data from Dune Analytics shows the number of unique crypto tokens has surged nearly 10x over the past three years across eight major blockchains. This oversupply may be stalling capital rotation, weakening the typical “rising tide lifts all boats” phenomenon seen in previous bull runs.Binance Research notes that unlike previous cycles driven by ICOs or DeFi innovations, the current market lacks a dominant theme. Concepts like meme coins, BitcoinFi, and DePIN are largely iterations of earlier trends. While AI has generated buzz, its real impact on crypto remains limited.Trump-Fed Tensions Shake the Dollar, Support Crypto RallyThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to a three-year low after President Donald Trump publicly criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Trump hinted at replacing Powell before his term ends and is reportedly considering several candidates.Fed officials remain split. While Powell adopted a cautious tone during testimony, Trump-appointed members Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller suggested cuts could come as early as July. The mixed signals have triggered uncertainty in traditional markets but lent strength to crypto and risk assets.As of Friday, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields had fallen to 4.27%, and the VIX volatility index dropped 20% to 16.8 — its lowest since February. These shifts have boosted sentiment across equities and crypto alike.Bitcoin Cements Role as Macro Hedge, but Liquidity Eyes Are on AltcoinsWith Bitcoin dominance holding strong and equities near all-time highs, the crypto market appears to be stabilizing. However, investors remain watchful for a potential altcoin breakout. Analysts suggest that without a strong narrative or unique catalyst, altseason may remain on hold.Looking ahead, all eyes are on upcoming macro data, including inflation readings and central bank moves. Should monetary conditions ease further or ETF inflows persist, Bitcoin may continue to lead — but the broader altcoin market still needs a spark.
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