Stockmoney Lizards

#Bitcoin

bounced off this support like a rubber ball.

150 - 160k is the conservative target for this cycle.

More likely 200 - 250k.

Buy the dips...

Personal learnings for Altcoins (if you choose to be active in that segment):

Don't buy green god candles.

Low prices, low rsi on high timeframes = derisked asset

don't chase altseason, 200-300% in crypto are easy if you accumulate low, you don't need altseason.

Don't ape into every coin you see. Focus on few. It will lead to a) low cash reserves in dips b) distract your focus. 500% gains with $100 investment is worse than 50% gains with $10,000 investment.

Don't set utopic targets.

Give yourself time. 5 years are better then 5 months.

If you rush, chances are high your ngmi

Sell when others are celebrating. As you scale in, so you scale out of positions.

Accept the fact that you will NEVER hit the exact bottom or peak.

NFA.

Money rotation in progress.
#Ethereum is the shitter of the hour.
coins like #ADA #LINK #AVAX will be next.

Remember not to marry these bags. They rise and fall. Enjoy the pump and take profits when the time is ripe.

NFA.

#Bitcoin

let's see how this goes. But sentiment has clearly shifted. There's still a lot of sell orders above 104k.

The moment we tap and break the old ATH, expect a massive short squeeze.

#Altcoins

most don't understand the concept of accumulating when sentiment is bad.

Now, we're already in the ascending leg.

The journey has started, sentiment is shifting. Enjoy the ride.

#Bitcoin

what a nice pump!

However, here it wouldn't be surprising if some of these late leveraged longs would be taken (maybe with a wick) out near-term before continuing.

NFA.

pro tip: don't use this button. ever.

To the Monday Morning Quarterbacks in My Comments:

Been noticing something interesting lately. Folks with 2 followers and zero content of their own popping up days later with "you were wrong" comments.

Look, I get it. It's easy to play the "gotcha" game after the fact. Markets moved differently than expected? Wait 5 days, then show up with "I knew better" energy.

Here's the thing though - all this content is free. The analysis, the setups, the real-time thinking. I'm literally sharing my trading playbook and thought process with thousands of people daily.

Trading isn't about being right 100% of the time - it's about risk management and catching the moves that matter. When I say "we might retrace to 88k before going higher," that's not a bearish call - it's considering all scenarios so you're prepared.

Remember when I was pounding the table to accumulate sub-80k? Over and over again. That played out exactly as expected. But nobody's rushing to the comments with "hey, that call was spot on."

I'm following a simple strategy (scaling in, proper position sizing, not using leverage for long-term positions), and I am money regardless of whether every short-term price prediction hits.

Easy to throw rocks from the sidelines. Much harder to put yourself out there daily with actionable ideas.

Want to critique? Cool. But maybe bring some actual analysis to the table. Or better yet, post your own calls in real-time instead of with 20/20 hindsight.

Just a thought.

Now back to finding setups that actually make us money...

#Bitcoin

if we close above POC (97.6k) on weekly, chances are good this can already be the beginning of the next leg.

Target $150 - 155k.

#Ethereum

haters gonna hate.

"This bear market is slowly going to a zone where at some point a technical rebound seems likely."
- Stockmoney Lizards, 6 April 2025

Most #Altcoins are still at bear market levels.

90% down from ATHs.

ETH-BTC monthly RSI 25.

Selling pressure approaching 0.

Fear and greed at max pain levels.

Bitcoin breaks POC at 97k.

Something is brewing. And those who are sidelined now will be the ones sidelined when we pump, buying the god candle.

@PeterSchiff enjoying your strategic #Bitcoin reserve 😉?

@PeterSchiff enjoying your strategic #Bitcoin reserve 😉

#Bitcoin

with a lot of short-term PA focus, it's once again time to take a step back and see where we stand.

The Facts:
- BTC buy zone is near the 50 month SMMA
- Bear signal comes when BTC (post-Halving) crosses 7 month SMMA
- Bull market buying opportunities occur at touches of the 7month SMMA

I will leave the interpretation of the current chart up to you.

despite #ETH s problems, there is a time for everything.

This bear market seems over-matured.

Reversal, even if merely technical, can easily push ETH(USD) back above $2000 / $2500 within weeks.

#Altcoins

sometimes it's hard to put things into perspective, especially, when BTC has been up only for the past 2.5 years.

But most Alts are down 90% within a year.

Heavily oversold, far away from 100 and 200 day moving averages.

Choose your fighters wisely.

A big move is coming.

#Altcoins

Typical retail perspective.

You will not nail the bottom. And you will risk being drawn down another 20 or 30%.

But if you wait for increasing prices, as most always do over and over again, you're ngmi.

#Bitcoin

once again, people are hooked on the idea that FOMC meeting and interest rate decision will "decide" where BTC is going. They are wrong.

If you look at the chart, you will see one thing: BTC's recent history alone is lined up with impactful and severe events.

And now imagine not seeing these events on the chart. What would you think? Probably this:

1. "Yes, after 2021, a bear market was the only logical possibility. BTC surged after Covid, after Trillions of dollars were printed, after people were euphoric calling 100k and more!"

2. "In December 2022, that was max pain after >70% from the highs. The bear market was long and reversal usually happens below the 200 w SMA."

3. "In 2024, BTC broke the old all time high. IT was necessary to correct"

4. "In 2025, BTC broke 100k, after a 2.5 years rally, a longer correction was necessary."

So, there will always be any macroeconomic event. And strangely, these are always timed when it's max pain or max euphoria. Get used to it. It's a pattern, and it has been true for any asset throughout history.

2025 will still be good. The correction can last until Q4 worst case, but we will see another leg up.

Don't get distracted.

#Bitcoin season isn't over, yet.

BTC.D has been steadily climbing for > 2 years now - chart is not showing any signs of weakness these days.

Another STRONG leg up for BTC before a correction is likely - then we can expect some rotation into #Altcoins.

#Altcoins

The sleeping turds are finally stirring—pay attention now!

We haven't bothered talking about alts lately because, let's face it, it wasn't their time. But something's brewing that deserves your attention.

Look at these charts—many quality projects bottomed after those savage 90% dumps from their 2024 peaks. Daily and weekly momentum indicators are slowly crawling up from oversold territory (while forming long bullish divergences). Classic bottoming pattern.

TOTAL3/BTC is my favorite tell for spotting altseason before everyone else sees it. This ratio tracks alt market cap (similar to BTC.D, but without including ETH) against Bitcoin, and when it turns up from a falling wedge like we're seeing, it typically means smart money is quietly rotating from BTC into alts.

We're getting close... but don't get cocky. Futures markets are designed to liquidate impatient traders before the real fireworks.

Stick to spot, quietly accumulate during these final shakeouts, and for God's sake take profits this time!