AbdulazizFAM
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Current 4hr candle is a week candle or a rejection candle.
This candle = bounce attempt, not recovery
Smart money knows this is exit liquidity, not a buy signal.
Dont FOMO guys
This candle = bounce attempt, not recovery
Smart money knows this is exit liquidity, not a buy signal.
Dont FOMO guys
$SOL just spiked from $164.5 to $169 — but let’s be clear:
This is not a trend reversal.
This is a minor bot-triggered bounce off local support.
Volume is reactionary — not momentum-driven.
Until $SOL breaks above $172 with strong volume, this move is just a blip — not a breakout.
Wait for $155–160 to re-enter.
No need to FOMO into short-term noise.
Patience > chasing.
This is not a trend reversal.
This is a minor bot-triggered bounce off local support.
Volume is reactionary — not momentum-driven.
Until $SOL breaks above $172 with strong volume, this move is just a blip — not a breakout.
Wait for $155–160 to re-enter.
No need to FOMO into short-term noise.
Patience > chasing.
$SOL just spiked from $164.5 to $169 — but let’s be clear:
This is not a trend reversal.
This is a minor bot-triggered bounce off local support.
Volume is reactionary — not momentum-driven.
Until $SOL breaks above $172 with strong volume, this move is just a blip — not a breakout.
Wait for $155–160 to re-enter.
No need to FOMO into short-term noise.
Patience > chasing.
This is not a trend reversal.
This is a minor bot-triggered bounce off local support.
Volume is reactionary — not momentum-driven.
Until $SOL breaks above $172 with strong volume, this move is just a blip — not a breakout.
Wait for $155–160 to re-enter.
No need to FOMO into short-term noise.
Patience > chasing.
In the last post, we broke down why $SOL was likely to retest $150–160.
Today, the market is beginning to confirm it.
Here’s what’s unfolding:
• Around 39 million SOL were bought at $175–180. Those holders are now breakeven or slightly down — they’re likely to sell.
• About 8 million SOL were bought at $189–191 — those wallets are now clearly underwater, and pressure is rising to exit.
• Volume remains high, but instead of breakout continuation, price is falling — this is typical distribution, not momentum buying.
• $SOL has failed multiple times to break above $190. Now sitting below $170, it’s showing signs of fading strength.
No panic yet — but structure is weakening.
If $SOL loses $160–165 support, the next stop is likely $150–155, or even $140.
I’m not here to advise anyone. But personally, I wouldn’t buy here.
This setup favors sellers — not buyers.
Today, the market is beginning to confirm it.
Here’s what’s unfolding:
• Around 39 million SOL were bought at $175–180. Those holders are now breakeven or slightly down — they’re likely to sell.
• About 8 million SOL were bought at $189–191 — those wallets are now clearly underwater, and pressure is rising to exit.
• Volume remains high, but instead of breakout continuation, price is falling — this is typical distribution, not momentum buying.
• $SOL has failed multiple times to break above $190. Now sitting below $170, it’s showing signs of fading strength.
No panic yet — but structure is weakening.
If $SOL loses $160–165 support, the next stop is likely $150–155, or even $140.
I’m not here to advise anyone. But personally, I wouldn’t buy here.
This setup favors sellers — not buyers.
Read before acting on SOL
Why I Think SOL Is More Likely to Retest $150–160
On-chain data shows a clear picture of where most SOL is held — and what that likely means for price action:
• 📍 ~39 million SOL was bought between $175–180 → holders are near breakeven
• 📍 ~8 million SOL was bought at $189–191 → currently at a loss, potential panic sellers
• 📍 ~44 million SOL between $145–157 → sitting on profits, likely to sell into strength
That’s a lot of supply above and a lot of incentive below to take profit or exit on any bounce.
I’m not advising anyone here — but personally, I’d never buy in this zone. Everything signals that volume is more likely to flow into sell pressure, not new buys.
Why I Think SOL Is More Likely to Retest $150–160
On-chain data shows a clear picture of where most SOL is held — and what that likely means for price action:
• 📍 ~39 million SOL was bought between $175–180 → holders are near breakeven
• 📍 ~8 million SOL was bought at $189–191 → currently at a loss, potential panic sellers
• 📍 ~44 million SOL between $145–157 → sitting on profits, likely to sell into strength
That’s a lot of supply above and a lot of incentive below to take profit or exit on any bounce.
I’m not advising anyone here — but personally, I’d never buy in this zone. Everything signals that volume is more likely to flow into sell pressure, not new buys.
Well said👏🏼👏🏼
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