Yesterday, the futures market experienced a "high pullback" drama🎢, peaking around 4020 but lacking momentum afterwards, with a midnight low dipping to 3865, currently entering a consolidation phase.
Core Interpretation
1. Daily Chart: A small bullish candle with a long upper shadow indicates heavy selling pressure above, overall presenting a weak oscillating pattern, but the bearish force is decreasing, releasing some positive signals. 2. Hourly Chart: Prices are stuck in the middle, with limited support from the trend line around 3880.
Operational Strategy📈📉
Currently, there is no clear unilateral signal, it is advisable to adopt a "short high, long low, wait in the middle" strategy.
- Short Position: Entry can be made in the 3980-4000 area above, with a stop loss above 4020. - Long Position: Entry can be made in the 3820-3800 area below, with a stop loss below 3780.
Remember the mantra: whoever arrives first, goes with that one! #ETH #以太坊合约
The price of Bitcoin is under short-term pressure: CPI data is the key variable, with the 1130-1140 range being the core for bearish positioning.
Although the price of Bitcoin has fallen back to the key support level of 1100, the current market's stability still appears insufficient based on the K-line structure and volume performance, and a clear stabilization signal has not yet formed. The CPI data to be released tonight will directly affect market liquidity expectations and become the 'deciding factor' for its short-term direction.
Previously, the price attempted to test the 1130-1140 range upward, but based on the analysis of volume coordination and shape integrity during the rebound process, this upward movement is more inclined to be a 'false breakout to lure buyers'. Looking back at recent trends, similar rebounds have occurred multiple times, and none have been able to stand firm at the key resistance level. If this historical pattern repeats, it is highly likely to trigger market selling pressure, leading to a new round of deep corrections.
In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to maintain a bearish outlook, focusing on the pressure response in the 1130-1140 range. If a MACD divergence and volume shrinkage signals appear in this range, one can gradually build short positions, with the first target directly aimed at the 1086-1090 support zone. This range is not only a key low that has been tested multiple times before but also aligns with the current overall downward trend's technical support.
It is particularly important to remind that regardless of whether the upcoming CPI data is higher or lower than expected, in the context of generally cautious market sentiment and a strong atmosphere of capital waiting on the sidelines, any rebound should be viewed as a high short opportunity rather than a signal of a trend reversal. It is necessary to strictly control position sizes within a reasonable range (suggested not to exceed 10% of total funds) and to set stop-loss limits (which can refer to above the key resistance level of 1150) to avoid significant losses due to sudden fluctuations. #BTC #比特币 #Web3
The double bottom structure on the 4-hour chart of the pancake is established, and the short-term support is solid. It is recommended to layout in batches, and after breaking through the key position, push for protection to look at the target.
Evening ETH Trading Strategy: The 3800 level is a key support, current price shows significant value for bottom-fishing
The current ETH price is around 3820, entering a consolidation phase, while the key support level on the daily chart clearly points to the 3800 line. Previously, the price dropped to a low of 3765 and quickly rebounded, which directly confirms that there is a significant amount of bottom-fishing funds actively supporting the market in this range, and the short-term downward momentum has clearly weakened.
From the intraday pattern, the 3800 position can be seen as an absolute bottom, and laying out bottom-fishing orders in this range has an extremely high risk-reward ratio. Combined with the subsequent market forecast, it is expected that there will be a wave of upward movement after the U.S. stock market opens, followed by a high probability of entering a downward phase. Therefore, the current node is the best window period for bottom-fishing entry. #ETH #以太坊合约
The current daily closing of the two futures shows a clear bearish trend, with multiple technical indicators resonating downwards. Key strong support levels to watch below are $3730, $3645, $3200, and $3050. The weekly level presents a weak structure of 'breaking one, looking down to the next'. Although there have been rebounds, the overall pressure remains. In the absence of positive news stimulation, it is expected that prices will continue the downward trend at the weekly level, with each rebound serving as an opportunity to short.
Operational Strategy:
· Short Entry: Enter short positions in batches when the price rebounds to the range of $3920-$3950, with a stop loss uniformly set above $4000 to avoid false breakouts. · Target: The primary short-term target is $3740; if it breaks below, further targets look towards $3650. If the price stays and rebounds in the range of $3770-$3810 in the evening, it can be seen as a second short opportunity. · Technical Reference: The strength of the rebound can be combined with the dynamic pressure level of the MA5 moving average at the 4-hour level as an entry signal. If the moving average continues to decline and the price cannot stabilize, it strengthens the logic for shorting.
Technical Validation:
· The daily level moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator is below the zero axis with a bearish crossover. · The weekly MACD has turned into the negative zone, and historical data shows that similar patterns have previously triggered a 46%-60% deep correction. · Recently, prices have repeatedly faced resistance and retreated around $4060, forming a local double top structure, with the neckline support broken further confirming bearish momentum.
Market Sentiment and Risks:
· Institutions remain optimistic in the long term (e.g., Tom Lee maintains a $10,000 target), but the short-term market sentiment index has dropped to the 'fear' zone, with a reduction in open contracts in derivatives indicating a contraction in bullish liquidity. · If the price unexpectedly breaks above $4050 and stabilizes, be wary of a bearish trap, and at that point, reassess the trend. #ETH #以太坊合约 #Web3
The market for large pancakes today experienced a decline followed by a rise, with a low of 107300 and a high of 111600. The hourly chart shows a contraction in bullish momentum, with key support at 109500. In terms of operations, a rebound to the 111300-111800 range can be an opportunity to lay out short positions, targeting 109300-108800. #BTC #比特币
BTC is under pressure in the afternoon, with 106k-107k being the key resistance area. The funding rate has turned negative and indicators are weakening. If it cannot quickly recover 107k, it may drop to the support levels of 104k-103.5k.
Short position reference: Light short at 106,800-107,000 if blocked, stop loss at 107,200, target for partial take profit at 106,000→105,200→104,000. #BTC #比特币
In the volatile pattern of the pancake, avoid blindly chasing shorts. Pay attention to the support at 109000-109500; if it stabilizes, you can set up long positions with a target of 112500-115500. Be alert to fluctuations triggered by Powell's speech, and make sure to set stop losses. #BTC #比特币 #Web3
The current overall inclination is to adopt a bearish strategy. If the price fails to effectively break through the resistance level of $113,800 during the rebound, or if there are signs of upward momentum exhaustion near this position— including around $115,500 above—such as forming an engulfing structure accompanied by a downward breakthrough, then it may be considered to lightly position short trades. It is essential to control the position size to avoid overtrading.
In terms of risk management, it is recommended to set the stop-loss above $116,000. If the price breaks through this level, exit promptly. The target level can initially focus on around $111,200. If the price successfully reaches this area, further look towards the support level of $110,000. It is advised to take profits in batches and maintain flexibility. #BTC #比特币 #web3
BTC Short Squeeze? The Downward Channel is Open! A Rebound is a Short Signal📉
On the afternoon of 10.14, the BTC market was too exciting! The news was a crazy alternation of bearish and bullish, making it impossible to see the direction clearly in the fog...
However, the price has already accurately broken below the 4-hour Bollinger middle track predicted by Xiao Shiyi Lang, which means the downward channel is completely opened!
Key Point 👉 A rebound is a good opportunity to short, 112500 is the signal to enter a short position! The initial target is 111200, if it directly breaks below, continue to look down!
Keep up with the rhythm, don’t misstep in the fluctuations~#BTC #比特币 #Web3
Encrypted Market Express📈 Major Coin & Minor Coin Breakthrough! Long Position Strategy Provided
BTC and ETH are performing exceptionally well today! Multiple rounds of intraday increases have directly reversed bearish expectations, and the upward trend is incredibly clear, maintaining a strong bullish pattern. Right now, it’s undoubtedly a bull market👊
Looking at the daily level, the price upward channel has been continuously widening, and the previous weak pullback has instead solidified the bottom, followed by a steady rebound that is incredibly powerful. Moreover, bullish volume is gradually being released, and all cycle moving averages are rising, making the bullish trend very stable~
The 4-hour chart is also looking good, with prices climbing along the upward channel, and the volume is very sufficient, showing a strong one-sided upward characteristic. Short-term small pullbacks are just normal adjustments to regain strength, no need to panic!
💡 Afternoon Operation Strategy
- Minor Coin: Long directly in the range of 4100-4150, with a target of 4300 - (Major Coin): Long directly in the range of 114300-114800, with a target of 116800
Market waits for no one; grasping the bullish rhythm is the most important! Remember to strictly set your take-profit and stop-loss levels oh#BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #Web3
Ethereum's precise prediction pays off! 140 points short position secured 📉
The midday post already indicated: if Ethereum fails to close above the minor trendline, it must test the 4400 daily support.
Sure enough, the market moved exactly as scripted! Not only did it steadily break below the crucial 4400 support, but it even dipped to around 4316. Friends who followed the short position directly secured a 140 points profit; this rhythm is so comfortable~
Short-term market selling pressure is still being released, so next we need to focus on whether the lower support can hold. In terms of operation, don't chase highs and sell lows; following the trend is the way to go! #ETH #以太坊ETF #Web3
Bitcoin Night Trading Strategy 🚀|Anchor the Ultimate Goal, First Look at Support!
Evening Bitcoin faces resistance at key positions📉 Currently unable to form an effective breakthrough Focus on observing the performance of support below
Core support range locked in at: 🔸121,400- 120,700🔸
This area is key for tonight's "defend first, attack later" If it can stabilize here Subsequent rebounds will have enough momentum to support!
🎯 Ultimate goal clear: After rebounding from the support zone First break through the mid-way pressure to confirm the trend Finally looking at the 122,900- 123,600 range
💡 Important Reminder: Upon reaching the target range Be sure to pay attention to changes in volume Once signs of weakening momentum appear Remember to respond to the risk of a pullback in a timely manner!
Looking back at the trends of Bitcoin and Ether today, the market is quite exciting! 📈📉
Bitcoin started to fluctuate downward from midnight and has now fallen below $124,000; Ether, on the other hand, rose first and then fell, spiking to $4,726 around noon before starting to decline. Overall, the market shows significant volatility, but the fundamentals remain solid.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin and Ether exhibit a typical 'two steps forward, one step back' upward rhythm, with each new high followed by a healthy pullback that does not break previous lows, indicating that the bulls are still in control.
【Afternoon Operation Strategy】 ✅ Bitcoin: Focus on the range of 123,000-123,400, consider going long at lower levels, target around 125,000 ✅ Ether: Focus on the range of 4,640-4,660, also suitable for going long at lower levels, target around 4,750
【Important Reminder】 ⚠️ Cryptocurrency is highly volatile, be sure to manage risks well ⚠️ Set reasonable stop losses, do not overuse leverage ⚠️ Closely monitor macro policies and market news
Although there will be fluctuations in the short term, the medium to long-term trend remains upward. Investing should remain rational, seizing opportunities while also managing risks! #BTC #比特币 #ETH #Web3
Daily level shows a strong consecutive rise, confirming a one-way upward channel!🚀 Although there is short-term pressure, prices repeatedly break new highs, and the bullish energy is undeniable, the market has been completely dominated.
📈 Core Views:
· The middle track of the Bollinger Bands provides strong support, and the space for bearish pullbacks is extremely limited. · The upward channel operates steadily, and the larger pattern remains upward. · Clear thinking: Stick to low long positions and follow the trend!
🎯 Specific Operation Strategy:
· Big Cake: Pull back to the 122500 - 123200 range to set up long positions. Target 1: 124500 - 125800 Target 2: Look upward to 127000 after breaking through · Second Cake: Pull back to the 4450 - 4500 range to enter long positions. Target looks towards 4650 - 4700
Trends in hand, keep up with the rhythm, and wait patiently for the flowers to bloom!💥
This wave of行情 is basically following expectations: Big brother BTC moves first, little brother ETH follows up afterwards.
But currently, ETH is a bit lagging behind, still hasn't stabilized at the key point of 4600, and is still a distance away from our expected range of 4800-5100.
Next week is crucial! If it still can't break through and stabilize at 4600, then we need to pay a little attention to the risks.
Operation suggestions: 🎯 Consider buying around 4500 🎯 Target 4600 🛡️ Stop loss at 4450
In short, keep your patience and maintain your rhythm! The market will always give you new opportunities. #ETH #以太坊ETF #web3
【📈9.29 Afternoon Trading Ideas|Analysis of Secondary Cake Trends】
Target 4230-4260 has been reached 🎯 The short position entered last night currently has about $60 profit 💰 Remember to set a breakeven stop loss to protect your gains!
Key Position Reminder👇 🚫 If it does not break through 4300: Expected to pull back ✅ If it breaks through 4300: Keep an eye on short position opportunities around 4400
Current small-scale trend has begun to decline Support below is at 4140 📉 If this position breaks, consider adding to the short position Target looking at 4080-3963
【Trading Reminder】 Investing has risks, and operations should be cautious Personal thoughts shared, not constituting investment advice
The fluctuations of Bitcoin and Ethereum are still ongoing, and the current volatility range is getting smaller. It seems that a direction is likely to emerge tonight! Based on the larger trend, we still maintain a bearish outlook, and after the consolidation ends, we expect a further pullback.
Trading Suggestions: - Bitcoin (BTC): Consider short positions around 109600, with a target of 108600 - Ethereum (ETH): Consider short positions around 4020, with a target of 3920
Maintain a high short outlook on rebounds, and be mindful of risk management! #BTC #ETH #比特币
Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded from a low near 108550, reaching a high of 110250 and closing around 109600. Currently, the key support below is at 108100; if it breaks, it may test 106950. The resistance above is near the MA7 moving average, and if it breaks, it is expected to test 113150. The daily MACD shows that bearish momentum is still increasing.
On the 4-hour level, recent support is at 108350, and if it fails, it may test 107650; short-term pressure is at 111000, and if it breaks, it may attack the MA200 position. The 4-hour MACD is showing a reduction in bearish momentum and has a trend towards forming a golden cross.
🎯 Trading Suggestions: ➡️ Enter long positions near 108400-107600, with a target of 110500-111000 ➡️ Enter short positions near 111800-112500, with a target of 110000-109000#BTC走势分析 #比特币