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BTC continues breakdown after failing VWAP stack reclaim. Clean rejection at 30D/7D VWAPs confirms seller control. Price now testing pMonth VWAP, a major line in the sand.
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Currently trading below all major VWAPs – 7D, 30D, and Monthly – after a textbook rejection off the 1.26 monthly VWAP and failure to reclaim the 1.23 weekly VWAP. Value has shifted lower with acceptance below the 1.1885 weekly VAL.
Bias remains bearish as long as price stays under the 1.23 VWAP cluster. If 1.13 monthly VAL breaks, expect continuation into the 1.12–1.10 zone.
Clean rejection off dWeek VAH (109.1k), followed by a pullback into VWAP cluster (30D/7D/pWeek) around 107.1k. Holding this cluster is key for short-term bullish structure.
Clean rotation off the pMonth VWAP with strong follow-through above 105.7k CVAH and 7D/30D VWAP stack. Currently pushing into pMonth VAH at 108.65k - short-term resistance.
Price cleanly reclaimed the 105.7–106.0k VWAP cluster (dWeek VWAP + 16day CVAH) with momentum pushing into 7D/30D VWAP resistance at 106.6–107.1k. Holding this zone would shift bias back toward pMonth VAH at 108.65k.
Structure: Two-sided, but bulls reclaiming control intraday Key Levels: Support: 105.7k (retest of VWAP stack), 104k (pMonth VWAP) Resistance: 107.1k (pWeek VWAP), 108.65k (pMonth VAH)
Scenarios * LONG: Continuation setup above 107.1k = push into monthly VAH * SHORT: Failure here + rejection from VWAP cluster = rotation back into 105.7k support
LIS 105.7k must hold for bullish bias to remain intact intraday.
Strong reaction off the pWeek VWAP + VAL zone (1.02–1.09) with price reclaiming the 7D and 30D VWAP. Currently challenging the dWeek VWAP at 1.23 after early rejection from the supply cluster at 1.26–1.34.
Scenarios LONG: Acceptance above 1.23 opens the path to fill inefficiency toward 1.26–1.34 SHORT: Rejection below 1.23 + breakdown under 1.10 = rotation back into the lower VWAP cluster
Line in the Sand 1.10 = micro structure + HTF confluence Above = long bias holds Below = this bounce likely fails
BTC is currently pushing into the 105.9–107.1k cluster, where 30D/7D VWAPs and 6day CVAL converge. This remains the short-term bearish line in the sand. Rejection here favors rotation back to 104.5k (pWeek VWAP) or even 104k (pMonth VWAP). A clean reclaim and acceptance above 107.3k would open up the path toward 108.6k.
Price rejected the pMonth VAH zone (~108,650) after failing to build acceptance above the dWeek VWAP (108,822). That rejection initiated a clean leg lower into 104k - now forming a range around 105k just below the 30D and 7D VWAPs, with price getting repeatedly capped by that cluster.
Market Structure
We’re rotating under composite resistance - 105,700 is the 16day CVAH. Rolling VWAP stack still upsloping but flattening. No initiative buyer follow-up after the initial bounce off pMonth VWAP.
Key Levels
Bullish LIS - reclaim of 105,700–105,900 cluster Bearish LIS - failure to hold above 104,500 (pWeek VWAP) HTF risk threshold remains around 108,600–108,800
Scenarios
Bullish case - reclaim 105,900 = potential long back into 107,300 and eventually 108,600+. Entry must come on strength. Bearish case - failure to reclaim VWAP cluster - short on lower high against 105,500 targeting 104,000–103,000 range low. Neutral - chop in this range until ETF flows and macro drive a breakout.
Until a decisive move above or below this VWAP cluster, this remains a scalper’s market. No swing longs unless 105,900+ is confirmed as support.
After yesterday's aggressive breakdown through the VWAP stack, BTC found support just above the prior month VWAP (104028) and is now rebounding into the first key cluster of resistance.
Current structure: – Breakdown confirmed by clean rejection at the 7D + 30D VWAPs – First bounce low found at the pMonth VWAP + dMonth VAL – Price currently consolidating between dWeek VWAP (104526) and pMonth VWAP (104028) – Volume profile shows strong selling pressure on the move lower, bounce so far on declining volume
Scenarios: SHORT: If price fails to reclaim dWeek VWAP and consolidates below 104500, expect another leg down towards 103600 and possibly 101800. LONG: Reclaim of 105000 and acceptance above broken VWAP stack would trap shorts and open path to retest 106000–107000 zone.
After rejecting the dWeek VAH (2821), ETH pulled back into the 2725–2700 zone where we see dWeek VWAP, 365D VWAP, and top of composite balance.
Price currently stalling near that cluster. Below here opens room toward 2616 pWeek VAH and 30D VWAP at 2545.
Scenarios: – Hold 2725–2700 and reclaim - local reversal, retest of 2780–2820 possible – Lose this VWAP band - 2615–2545 likely to fill as composite mean reversion Bias: Neutral short term, bullish as long as 2545 cluster holds Watching price behavior around 2700. Holds = scalp longs. Breakdown = bear control.
Clear rejection at pMonth VAH (108650), with fast liquidation candle and follow-through below dWeek VWAP. Price now testing 107564 – dWeek VAL and 6day CVAL, which must hold or 105700/105900 area (VWAP cluster) becomes next magnet.
Scenarios: – Hold 107300s - short-term bounce back into 108200–108600 range – Break 107300 - unwind continues toward 105700/105900 – HTF bias neutral, but trend momentum shifts to short unless VWAPs are reclaimed Bias: Bearish under 108650 Watching how we trade this VAL zone - bounce or breakdown confirmation.
Still trading between pMonth VAH and dWeek VWAP with intraday pressure now leaning back into the 108k–108.8k cluster. No clean rejection at highs and no acceptance below key VWAPs yet.
Scenarios: – Hold above 108650 - re-test dWeek VAH likely – Acceptance below 108650 - rotation towards 107500 and 105700 (16d CVAH) – HTF bullish structure intact unless 105700 fails
Right now, $BTC is trading below the 7D VWAP and weekly pivot levels. If the dWeek VWAP breaks down, that’ll be another reason for a retest of the 30D VWAP. All this points to sellers dominating the game, shifting the edge toward short setups, especially if price bounces back up to resistance zones.
This scenario stays valid unless $105,800 gets taken out and a retest confirms buyer strength. A failed breakout and rejection above that level would send $BTC back to test $104K.
104k is a critical support, anchored by the monthly VWAP. Should bearish sentiment intensify amid further negative newsflow, pushing BTC below this level, I consider the downside risk limited - unlikely breaching the yearly VAH at 102.2k.
Legacy Network has dropped two major announcements this week: 1. $500M valuation and audit by PwC - a strong signal of transparency and institutional-grade credibility. 2. MiCA compliance confirmation - a green light for operating under the EU’s strict regulatory regime.
Legacy blends gamification, education, and Web3 into one platform. Their token $LGCT just hit a new ATH, but with a market cap still at only $200M, there’s plenty of upside, and these updates could serve as catalysts for the next leg up.
On top of that, their app has already surpassed 900K downloads. Clear demand + upcoming news = a strong bullish setup.
Bull Case for $BIO: - Team Commitment: Team token unlock has been delayed to November 2025, with a 6-month linear vesting schedule — in contrast to the originally scheduled ~4%% supply unlock in May 2025. This move reduces near-term sell pressure and signals long-term alignment with the community. - Ecosystem Growth: Bio’s network of BioDAOs have already raised over $50M on ETH and Solana, indicating strong early adoption of DeSci primitives and signaling the protocol’s real traction. - AI Integration: The protocol is expanding its Agentic Science framework with AI-powered hypothesis generation and $BIO staking mechanics, pushing the boundaries of automated scientific discovery and increasing capital efficiency in research. - DeSci Leadership: The Bio founding team has partnered with leading research labs at Harvard, MIT, and investors like @yzilabs and Pfizer Ventures, is leading panels at Solana events (e.g., Future of DeSci) and DeSci Berlin (June 2025) — reinforcing Bio Protocol’s role as a category leader and public face of decentralized science. - Market Sentiment: $BIO is ranked among the top 10 tokens under $200M market cap, with growing retail momentum and alignment with the broader DeSci Summer / WAGMI narrative. - Catalysts: BioAgents launch with @elizaOS, BIO staking, new bonding curve-based agent launchpad, active Bio x AI Hackathon (with $125K in prizes), VitaLabs Season 2 by @vita_dao, Curetopia’s $580K gene therapy project all add to the pipeline of adoption, research capital, and real-world use cases.
Also check out @aixbt_agent perspective - it’s insanely bullish!