Contract Quantitative Brief #111｜Momentum is still strong, but the upside extension at higher levels is more obvious. I’ll first wait for a pullback
Market condition:
Today is still following through in the same pattern; the direction hasn’t turned bad. But many targets have already stretched upward, and the price-chasing value-for-money is starting to deteriorate. I’d rather keep my position for a pullback to confirm, and I don’t want to force-buy during the late-session acceleration.
Top picks
1）ONDOUSDT
In 6h, it has already moved out +9.907%; in 1h it’s still continuing. OI (1h) is +16.954%. The funding rate is slightly skewed bearish, which suggests this move is more like an active push upward—not random chaos after a pure short-squeeze.
Observation level: around 0.36
Trigger: after a pullback, if it doesn’t break 0.36 and then reclaims around 0.367, watch for continuation.
Invalidation: drops back below 0.352, or after the pullback there’s no follow-through/holding—this means the rhythm is loosening.
I’d rather wait for it to pull back than chase a candle that’s already run.
2）AKEUSDT
The rise and the positioning are both extremely wild. OI (1h) +173.33%, 6h +10.624%. A +261% intraday gain has already pushed sentiment very high.
What these coins fear most isn’t that they didn’t pump—it’s that they rise too fast, and then a quick retracement washes out the chase orders with it.
Observation level: around 0.00066
Trigger: after a contraction pullback, if it holds 0.00066 and then turns strong again.
Invalidation: breaks below 0.00062, or after a spike it quickly “engulfs back.”
I’m treating this one only as a sentiment indicator—I won’t hard-buy at the end of the acceleration.
Alternative to watch / Not pursuing for now
MAGMAUSDT: its position isn’t as exaggerated as the first two, but the strength and burst are also mediocre. I’ll watch first; no rush to chase.
Risk warning:
The market is relatively bullish, but the upside extension at high levels is already very clear. Today is better suited for confirmation—not for chasing strength. If you make me put it in one sentence: I’d rather miss the first leg than grab the last one at the end of the acceleration.
Market condition:
Today is still following through in the same pattern; the direction hasn’t turned bad. But many targets have already stretched upward, and the price-chasing value-for-money is starting to deteriorate. I’d rather keep my position for a pullback to confirm, and I don’t want to force-buy during the late-session acceleration.
Top picks
1）ONDOUSDT
In 6h, it has already moved out +9.907%; in 1h it’s still continuing. OI (1h) is +16.954%. The funding rate is slightly skewed bearish, which suggests this move is more like an active push upward—not random chaos after a pure short-squeeze.
Observation level: around 0.36
Trigger: after a pullback, if it doesn’t break 0.36 and then reclaims around 0.367, watch for continuation.
Invalidation: drops back below 0.352, or after the pullback there’s no follow-through/holding—this means the rhythm is loosening.
I’d rather wait for it to pull back than chase a candle that’s already run.
2）AKEUSDT
The rise and the positioning are both extremely wild. OI (1h) +173.33%, 6h +10.624%. A +261% intraday gain has already pushed sentiment very high.
What these coins fear most isn’t that they didn’t pump—it’s that they rise too fast, and then a quick retracement washes out the chase orders with it.
Observation level: around 0.00066
Trigger: after a contraction pullback, if it holds 0.00066 and then turns strong again.
Invalidation: breaks below 0.00062, or after a spike it quickly “engulfs back.”
I’m treating this one only as a sentiment indicator—I won’t hard-buy at the end of the acceleration.
Alternative to watch / Not pursuing for now
MAGMAUSDT: its position isn’t as exaggerated as the first two, but the strength and burst are also mediocre. I’ll watch first; no rush to chase.
Risk warning:
The market is relatively bullish, but the upside extension at high levels is already very clear. Today is better suited for confirmation—not for chasing strength. If you make me put it in one sentence: I’d rather miss the first leg than grab the last one at the end of the acceleration.