Nothing is more fragile than the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran
Overnight, President Trump accused Iran of violating the ceasefire agreement after at least four alleged suicide drones were launched at commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
🚨 In response, U.S. CENTCOM carried out airstrikes targeting: • an Iranian missile depot • drone storage facilities • and coastal radar stations
This is the first direct U.S. military action since the ceasefire memorandum was signed.
🇮🇷 Iran then retaliated by targeting U.S. military positions in the area and warning that any further U.S. attack would trigger an even more forceful response.
🛢️ Despite escalation: • Brent crude rose only slightly to around $73 • while Bitcoin was virtually unchanged around the $60K level
📉 The market increasingly seems to be insensitive to Middle East headlines unless the conflict begins to cause significant disruptions: • oil flows • global shipping routes • or broader macroeconomic conditions.
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