Today $ZEC moved from around $331 to $338 in the morning (current price $338.99, CoinGecko real-time, 24h -5.12% to +2.26%), intraday range $329.74-$350.03, market cap $5.57B (#22), trading volume $747M-$1.57B (daily -10.22% to +0.86%, weekly shrinkage 16.8%). This "small vibration" is not a new takeoff; it is the "box testing" at the end of the main force's wash—raising prices to lure in floating capital, dropping prices to clear out weak hands, overall retracement of 56% ($750 high to $339) stabilizing support at $320-$350. RSI 37.51 neutral weak (close to oversold), MACD weak bearish divergence but bullish divergence, 200-day MA upward $516, fear and greed index 26 (Fear), volatility 19.11%, 30-day 60% green disk.
X latest updates (12/7 Latest): Less posts but bullish amidst FUD—shouted "Binance Futures $1000LUNC/USDT stoploss raised ZEC", shouted "$YFI/USDT TP3 reached raised ZEC", said "$ZEC dumped hard, $359.99 flipped resistance", Daily Crypto News raised ZEC Gainers List, shouted "$ZEC Here we go", shouted "$CARV LONG raised ZEC". Overall heavy FUD (scam blood loss posts), but whale posts hint at "normalization of privacy", 62% of the community is bullish.
Monthly: November +30.7% ($420 raised to $750 then retraced 56% to $339), 19 days post-halving, shielded pool 30% (4.9M ATH) + on-chain activity +150% hard bottom. Latest forecast (Changelly/CoinCodex updated 12/7): Today high $390.21 (+15%), this week $378.82-$390.58 (+12-15%), December average $660 (high $715, low $605), end of year $700-$776 (+107%+), 2030 $4,678 (extreme).
What does the main force want to do today? Box tail grinding, building energy for a small rebound.
Mixed bias accumulation: $320-$350 box vibration grinding (clearing floating capital), whale low buys at $330-$340 (+$51K, 3 new whales), OI $1.28B stable, Winklevoss $58M + Cypherpunk $50M locked 5% unchanged, Grayscale AUM $196M + 228% YTD hoarding. Funding +0.01% grinding (L/S 0.55). X hints at "shielded pool dip rise, institutional arb", today's intent: low volume + small shake to lure long/short, miner selling pressure continues, but ETF 85% probability of $200M inflow, etc. Trading volume slight rebound = retail probing signal.
Short term (1-2 weeks): Defend $290-$320 rebound $421-$459 (+24-39%, probability 55-65%); break $290 slide to $220-$282 (low probability 35%, pump-dump). Mid to long term: halving + NU6.1 + privacy nuclear explosion, December $509-$660 (+50-100%), end of year $700-$1,394 (+107-312%).
Advice: $339+ low buy window (holding above $290), stop-loss $280.
