Here’s a breakdown of what I found regarding how long the current crypto-market “stability” might last (and what “hope of good” really means) — with the caveat that nothing is guaranteed in the crypto world.

✅ What suggests there is some stability / positive momentum

Analysts expect that the crypto market may remain in a consolidation phase through 2025. For example, one recent article states that the global crypto market is “expected to remain in consolidation through 2025.”

Longer-term growth prospects remain positive. For instance, some research suggests that the global crypto market could more than triple by 2030.

The “hope of good” is tied to factors like increased institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, new technologies (AI + blockchain) and broader mainstream use.

⚠️ What suggests fragility or risk

Crypto is inherently volatile. The system has serious regulatory and structural risks (lack of uniform regulation globally, unknowns in how large crypto will become relative to traditional finance).

Being in a consolidation phase means it’s not necessarily “floating upward steadily” — it could be stable (or sideways) but still vulnerable to triggers (regulatory shocks, macroeconomic issues).

The time horizon for “hope” matters: long-term (3-5 years) looks more positive; short-term (weeks-months) could still see wild swings or even corrections.

🎯 My estimate: How long could this last?

Putting together the evidence, here’s a rough “time-window” estimate:

Short term (next 3-12 months): The market may remain relatively stable or in a sideways consolidation (not necessarily huge growth, but not collapsing either).

Medium term (12-24 months): If regulatory frameworks tighten, adoption increases, and macro factors are favorable, we could move from consolidation into new growth. If not, we might remain in a prolonged “wait” state or fallback.

Long term (3-5 years and beyond): This is where the “hope of good” really has strength — many analysts see a more meaningful upside (e.g., market size increasing, deeper adoption).

📝 Key factors to watch

Regulatory developments (across major jurisdictions) — how rules are clarified or changed.

Institutional adoption: how much big money enters crypto markets (not just retail).

Macro-economics: interest rates, inflation, risk-off/risk-on sentiment will affect crypto.

Technology and utility: how much crypto or blockchain tech solves real world problems (vs speculation).

Risk events: Hacks, major exchange failures, regulatory crackdowns — these could end stability quickly.

If you like, I can pull specific scenarios for what could trigger a new bull run vs what might lead to a breakdown — and give approximate probability estimates for each. Would you like that?