The Crypto Fear Index Plummets to 15 | What Does It Mean That Market Sentiment Has Entered the Official 'Extreme Fear' Zone——In the past 24 hours it has dropped from 24 to 15, with sentiment rising sharply; a week ago it was still at 27 (Fear), and a month ago it was even around 38 (Neutral). Today, with the government opening, sentiment shockingly entered extreme fear directly. The current state is typical: the price hasn't collapsed yet, but sentiment has already collapsed.
1️⃣ Let ChatGPT summarize the situations in which the index fell to the 10–20 range over the past few years:
End of 2018 (Bitcoin $3,200) → Medium to Long-term Bottom
March 2020 (Pandemic Crash) → Excellent Buying Point
July 2021 (China Mining Ban / BTC $29,000) → Major Reversal Bottom
June 2022 (Luna Crash) → Rebound Point, but not the final bottom
November 2022 (FTX Crash) → True Bottom at BTC $15,500
March 2023 (Banking Crisis) → BTC $19,000 → Rapid V-Recovery
Today, 2025: Index = 15
2️⃣ Let ChatGPT calculate based on previous data:
When Fear & Greed is in the 10–20 range,
The probability of rising in the next 1–3 months: ≈ 75%
The probability of rising in the next 6–12 months: ≈ 88%
But in the short term (next 1–2 weeks):
The probability of continuing to explore lower levels is still 30–40%
