🇻🇪 #BinanceLand #CorporacionCriptomaniaVenezuela #EvolucionFinEd360
📊 Analysis and projection for October 2025 – crypto market
🔍 Current situation (1-19 October 2025)
Asset Opening 1-Oct Closing 19-Oct Δ month Observation
BTC (USDT) 114,600 115,300 +0.6 % Consolidation above 115k
ETH (USDT) 4,175 4,175 -0.1 % Intra-month volatility: 3,800-4,700
Global capitalization 3.90 T 3.90 T Flat Fear & Greed: 48 (neutral)
• Key event: rise >4,700 ETH on 6-Oct → drop to 3,800 on 13-Oct due to fear of global liquidity.
• Institutional flow: +2B in ETH ETFs prior to the drop.
📈 Projection until 31 October 2025
Conservative (60 % probability)
- BTC: 115k-118k → support 115k, resistance 118k
- ETH: 4,100-4,300 → post-panic recovery
- Driver: macro stability + ETF inflows
Optimistic (30 % probability)
- BTC: 118k-122k → break-out if it exceeds 118k with volume
- ETH: 4,300-4,500 → complete recovery from the mid-month dump
- Catalyst: halving narrative + ETF + historic bullish end of month
Bearish (10 % probability)
- BTC: 109k-115k → loss of 115k = test of 109k
- ETH: 3,800-4,100 → global fear or margin call
- Trigger: global credit or adverse regulation
🎯 Conclusion
• October 2025 = bullish month 70 % historical → high probability of green close.
• Key to watch: maintain >115k BTC and >4,1k ETH → bull/bear line.
• Suggested strategy: DCA in zones 115k-4,1k; dynamic stop-loss < 109k.
«October is not magic; it is consistency measured in green candles.»
