Eight years in the cryptocurrency world, I've learned to keep my mouth shut.

In 2023, an older sister took my advice and bought Ethereum, and after a 50% increase, she kept asking, "Should I sell?"

I advised her to HODL, but she kept nagging, and I finally understood - she just wanted me to nod. So I said, "Sell it." She placed the order instantly, and ETH doubled afterward. When she asked me about other coins, I brought up the meal I owed her for two years, and she fell silent.

I entered the space in 2017, and after eight years, as my skills improved, my friends decreased. With thousands of fans and constant likes, yet not a single person truly understands.

They ask me, "Can this altcoin rise?" I reply, "I don’t know." They are shocked, thinking I’m pretending. But I genuinely don’t know. Researching a project requires reading the white paper, understanding the unlock schedule, analyzing on-chain data, and a month is considered fast. When they ask how much it can rise, I still say I can’t say for sure. Experts are not fortune-tellers.

I advise relatives to buy BTC in a bull market, and they say, "Wait for the MEME to break even." I smile wryly, "By the time you break even, Layer2 will be in its third generation." They acknowledge you as an expert but want you to play by the logic of amateurs: only buy low, only buy what you are stuck with, only sell when they want to sell. It's like a wife who can't drive, yet directs a seasoned driver every day.

Someone followed my advice, made a profit, and boasted in the group, even leveraging to surpass me. The next time they ask, I only retort, "What do I get out of it?" Three years without red envelopes, I’m tired. I stay up late analyzing data, while they gamble in five minutes, and when they get liquidated, they blame me. Help once, carry a lifetime burden.

Once, when ETH's pattern was perfect, I told a friend to clear their position, saying there was an anomaly on-chain. Later, it really did crash, and he avoided it but never contacted me again, thinking I was in the know. Another time I helped a friend double their SOL and escape the peak, she complained that I didn’t call the highest point, and I was speechless.

A friend asked about profits, I took a screenshot of my wallet, and it was a farewell on the other side. They said I was showing off, but back then, when they had villas and luxury cars, I was working. Who's showing off?

The loneliness of the crypto world is you adding to your position in a bear market while others cut losses; you escape the peak, and others say it's luck.

After seven years, I've learned to keep my mouth shut. If you also look at on-chain data and calculate unlocks, we don’t have to speak to understand each other. #加密市场回调