🇺🇸 𝐅𝐄𝐃 𝐑𝐀𝐓𝐄 𝐂𝐔𝐓 𝐎𝐃𝐃𝐒 𝐒𝐎𝐀𝐑 𝐓𝐎 𝟗𝟖.𝟑% 🔥
The market has spoken — and it’s almost certain that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 bps at its October 29th, 2025 meeting, bringing the target range to 3.75–4.00%.
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🔶 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐈𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐬:
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♦️ Cut Probability: 98.3%
♦️ Current Rate: 4.00–4.25%
♦️ Expected Move: -25 basis points
♦️ Contract Reference: ZQV5 (expiring Oct 31, 2025)
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💹 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡:
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💠 Bonds: Yields continue to edge lower as traders front-run the easing cycle.
💠 Equities: Relief rally likely, especially in growth and tech stocks.
💠 Crypto: Historically reacts bullishly to rate cuts — liquidity-driven inflows possible across BTC, ETH, and majors.
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🧠 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐇𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬™ 𝐕𝐢𝐞𝐰:
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♦️ The Fed pivot narrative is now fully priced in — a cut is expected, not a surprise.
♦️ The next move depends on tone of Powell’s statement — dovish guidance could ignite another leg higher in risk assets.
♦️ If the Fed signals one-and-done, expect a short-term spike followed by consolidation.
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⚡ 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐀𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝:
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📉 98.3% odds of a rate cut confirmed
📊 Liquidity rotation already visible
📈 Risk assets preparing for Q4 momentum rally
Rate cut season is officially on. 💵🔥
