For years, October has been a decisive month for Bitcoin (BTC). What at first glance seems like 'another drop' has historically been the turning point for significant bullish movements.

And this 2025 could repeat the pattern.

🔹 1. October drops are rare… and powerful

According to economist Timothy Peterson, BTC has only fallen more than 20% during October four times in the last decade.

What's the result? Three of those four occasions were followed by rebounds of 10% to 21% within days.

📈 2017, 2018, and 2019 are clear examples: each correction was the prelude to a sustained rally.

🔹 2. Context 2025: from scare to readjustment

The recent tariff shock between the U.S. and China briefly pushed BTC to $102,000. But the immediate recovery towards $112,000–$115,000 demonstrates that the market remains strong and with liquidity waiting to enter.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs continue to record net inflows, interest rates could start to decrease, and the dollar is losing strength.

👉 In other words: macro pressure is turning into crypto momentum.

🔹 3. Strong hands are not scared

Large institutional funds are not selling — they are accumulating.

The post-halving issuance of only 450 BTC daily does not cover current demand.

Every day, institutional hands are absorbing more BTC than miners can produce.

This creates a simple effect: less supply, more scarcity, more upside potential.

🔹 4. What to watch in the coming days

Key support: $117,000, a level where historical buyers reappear.

Bullish confirmation: daily close above $125,000–$126,000.

Technical target: $128,000–$130,000 before the quarter closes.

The RSI and MACD show healthy consolidation, with no signs of overbuying.

📊 In summary: the market is reacquiring, not collapsing.

Conclusion

Headlines speak of fear, but the data tells another story:

October has been, time and again, the month when impatient traders sell and the smart accumulate.

"History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes. And this October could rhyme with profits."

Get ready, because if the structure holds, $130K could just be the beginning.

#bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MarketInsights #HalvingCycles #Write2Earn! $BTC $ETH $XRP