🔍 Key events and catalysts
The event potential impact Completing the transfer of MATIC → POL Coinbase announced that it will suspend trading of MATIC on October 14 and convert remaining balances to $POL at a rate of 1:1. Institutional staking offer from AMINA Bank the first regulatory (Swiss) bank to offer institutional staking for POL with rewards up to 15%. Proposal to amend the tokenomics An active investor called for the cancellation of the 2% annual inflation and the creation of a 'buyback & burn' program to reduce selling pressure. Upgrade 'Rio' and institutional focus The upgrade aims to accelerate finality and reduce reorganization; the shift towards institutional infrastructure is increasing.
📈 Technical situation & indicators
POL is currently trading at approximately ~ $0.2258, down about -3.7% over the day.
Over the past 24 hours, the decline reflects a pullback within a general correction, but trading volume remains significant, indicating ongoing interest.
Technical analysis indicates that the price is in an equilibrium/accumulation phase – the indicators (RSI, MACD) are not far from neutral.
Some platforms' forecasts suggest a potential ceiling nearby around $0.23 with the possibility of dropping to levels ~ $0.18 if support fails.
In an optimistic scenario, some forecasts see breaking resistance around $0.30 driving the currency towards higher levels ($0.75 at maximum).
🧭 Risk and opportunity assessment
Opportunities:
The complete transition from MATIC to POL reduces the excess supply and focuses liquidity on a single token.
Institutional staking from banks with regulatory oversight may attract large capital and reduce the liquidity available for sale.
Fixing the tokenomics by eliminating inflation or adopting a burning policy could be a significant positive driver if successfully implemented.
Risks:
The actual implementation of the tokenomics proposal may face technical or logistical objections, especially regarding ensuring validators' rewards.
If the price fails to break resistance or penetrate the upward trend, the corrective decline may continue.
General risks in the cryptocurrency market (volatility, regulatory tightening, sentiment changes) remain present.
✅ Quick summary
On October 11, 2025, POL is at a pivotal stage. The transition from MATIC is nearly complete, and there is a strong trend towards making POL the primary currency of the ecosystem. Moves by institutions like AMINA towards providing staking with regulatory controls reflect an intention to attract institutional capital.
But success heavily depends on how the tokenomics changes are implemented and how the community and developers respond to them.