Given the risks and technical structure, here’s how I see things potentially unfolding:
Base case: LUNA may struggle to break strong resistance zones (~$0.14–0.15) and could drift or decline further, possibly testing ~$0.10 or lower in the coming months.
Bull case: If the Terra 2.0 ecosystem attracts developers, users, and real use cases (DeFi, apps, cross-chain integrations), LUNA could recover and reach ~$0.20+ in a few years.
Bear / downside case: Market conditions worsen (crypto winter, regulation, lack of adoption), and LUNA could lose value further or stagnate, possibly falling below $0.08 in extreme scenarios.
The long-term success heavily depends not just on market sentiment but on real fundamentals: development activity, adoption, partnerships, and competitive positioning relative to other smart contract platforms.
