Recently, I keep seeing people in the community saying that ALT is about to take off. When I opened the K-line, it really does seem that way. This wave of market activity, when it comes down to it, relies entirely on the new Rumour.app to generate excitement. But behind the excitement, a bunch of tokens waiting to be unlocked are like ticking time bombs; how should we view it? @trade_rumour
First, let's talk about the foundation of this price increase. When Rumour.app launched, the community went into an uproar. Almost everyone I know who trades has one, and they all say this tool compresses the time from "hearing news to placing orders" to the extreme. Previously, to catch hot topics, you had to scan various communities and read countless tweets. Now, you can open the APP and see a consolidated stream of thematic information, and you can directly connect to trading platforms, significantly improving efficiency. This tangible tool attribute makes ALT stand out from a bunch of storytelling projects, and a price rebound is only to be expected.
But don't just focus on the joy; unlocking the pressure of this bomb must be guarded against. In July last year, there was a major unlocking of 684 million tokens into the market, directly causing the supply to surge by 42%. At that time, many investors panicked and sold off indiscriminately, leading to chaos in the market. In January this year, another 240 million tokens were unlocked; although the scale was smaller than last time, it still caused significant price fluctuations. Now, everyone's biggest concern is whether there will be a larger scale unlocking in the future? It is important to know that the total supply of ALT is 10 billion tokens, of which only over 2.5 billion are in circulation, with a large number of tokens waiting to be unlocked for market entry. Once the unlocking wave comes, can it really withstand the selling pressure just based on the popularity of Rumour.app?
Looking further ahead, the future of ALT depends on two key variables. On one hand, whether Rumour.app can continue to evolve. Currently, there are more and more similar information tools, and if it only stays at its current functionality, it can easily be surpassed by competitors. Whether it can integrate more data sources, optimize algorithm recommendations, and add personalized features directly determines how many users it can retain. On the other hand, it depends on whether the ALT ecosystem can form a synergistic effort. As a front-end product, Rumour.app needs to deeply connect with AltLayer's Rollup, RaaS, and other core businesses to create an internal cycle of users and funds. If it only operates independently, it will be difficult to stand firm in fierce competition.
A reminder to all ALT holders: in the short term, pay attention to Rumour.app's user data and feature updates, as these are important factors supporting the price; in the medium term, closely track unlocking announcements and prepare for risk prevention in advance; in the long term, watch the development pace of the entire ecosystem to see if a unique competitive advantage can be built. The market has always been a coexistence of opportunities and risks, and blindly following trends is not advisable; rational analysis is the key.
