In macro terms, the decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates last September was truly noteworthy. In the context of inflation still at 2.9% — higher than inflation in previous meetings — the Fed still decided to lower interest rates. This sends a clear signal to the market: the threshold for the Fed to reduce interest rates has been widened. In other words, as long as inflation in the coming months (October and December) does not exceed around 3%, it is highly likely that the Fed will continue to lower interest rates. This can be seen as a strong "mental boost" for the market.

Therefore, I view this interest rate cut not only as a short-term boost but also as a long-term positive signal. It helps dispel doubts about the possibility of rate cuts over the past six months while stabilizing market expectations. Even if there are short-term negative reactions — for example, asset prices adjusting after 'good news has been reflected' — in the long run, expectations for rate cuts and the potential for liquidity injection will lay the groundwork for a stable upward trend in the financial market.

Alongside this, the approval of ETFs focused on altcoins is also a positive sign. Although current trading volumes are still quite low, this is not a signal that the market has 'no opportunities.' This situation is quite similar to when the ETH ETF was approved in mid-2024: the market needs time to 'digest' information, accumulate liquidity, and only then will strong rallies emerge.

Personal investment strategy

Based on macro insights and the current market trend, my investment strategy focuses on three main points:

  1. Psychological adjustment: Always be wary of the possibility that BTC could peak in the short term, while also learning how major investors (like Warren Buffett) still hold significant cash reserves to observe the market before acting.

  2. Maintain caution: Regardless of how the market fluctuates, do not let emotions dictate decisions. Be cautious, but do not let fear control you.

  3. Gradually buying and holding major altcoins: Break down capital to DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) into altcoins with long-term potential, especially those that have been approved by ETFs. With these assets, I won't rush to sell at low prices but will monitor at least until the next full moon cycle to assess the market's next trend.

Conclusion

This wave of volatility may cause short-term fluctuations in the market, but the long-term trend remains positive. During this period, patience and execution of the strategy are more important than acting on emotions. Holding major coins, taking advantage of DCA opportunities, and closely monitoring macro developments will help optimize profits while minimizing risks.