According to the expectations reflected in Polymarket, a large majority of bettors anticipate a new interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (FED) in October 2025.
🔍 Key market data on Polymarket:
• 88% of participants believe there will be a cut of at least 25 basis points.
• 4.2% bet on a more aggressive cut of 50 basis points.
• Only 13% consider that there will be no changes, and 0.25% believe that rates could increase.
📉 Recent context:
• On September 19, the FED made the first rate cut of the year, lowering from 4.25% to 4%.
• This move was interpreted as a signal of greater monetary flexibility, which has boosted expectations for another cut in October.
📈 Expected impact on crypto:
• The reduction in rates usually benefits assets like bitcoin, by injecting liquidity and encouraging the search for higher-risk investments.