In 2015, that spring of constant fluctuations, I dove headfirst into the cryptocurrency world with a capital of 100,000. At that time, looking at the ups and downs of the K-line chart, I felt in my heart that 'making money is not difficult.'
But reality gave me a heavy blow. In just two months, I fell into two big pits: chasing those 'popular altcoins,' I lost 40,000 all at once; buying the dip on 'plummeting coins,' I was stuck with another 30,000. When there was only a little over 30,000 left in my account, I sat blankly in front of the computer, staring at the screen, unsure of what to do — it turned out that making money in the cryptocurrency world does not rely on 'feelings,' but on understanding the 'signals' of the market.
But I did not give up, gritting my teeth for 6 years. By observing trading volumes, sensing market emotions, and waiting for the right moment, I have achieved hundreds of times growth on my principal.
I have never relied on rumors, nor do I touch unreliable projects, and I have never delved into complex indicators. Today, I will share these experiences gained through real capital with you. Even if you only learn one of them, you can avoid hundreds of thousands in losses.
Share a path of rolling positions and compound interest from small funds!
1. Coin selection life-and-death line: 90% of retail investors die here, 3 tricks to lock in breakout coins.
1. Moving average golden cross first pullback (technical screening).
Core logic
: The first pullback after the weekly EMA21 and EMA55 golden cross is a signal that the main force's washout is over.
Case study
: In January 2023, when LDO broke $0.8, the moving average golden cross occurred, and the subsequent 3 months saw a surge of 300%.
2. Volume violently breaks through (on-chain data cleaning method).
Selection criteria
: Trading volume must break through the Bollinger Bands middle track by more than 2.3 times to exclude 'false breakout' traps.
Tool techniques
: Use Nansen or Arkham to monitor large on-chain transfers and capture institutional accumulation traces.
3. Whale bottom support three consecutive hits (monitoring large order behavior).
Key signal
: Key support levels show single orders over 100BTC supporting the market continuously.
Practical tools
: Whale Alert + exchange depth chart to predict main force's intention to protect.
2. Rolling position nuclear bomb formula: start with 17% of principal, end with 112% (attached leverage model).
1. Initial position: 17% of the principal (accurate to 5100 yuan)
Reason
: 17% is the optimal solution of the 'Kelly formula' in the crypto market, balancing returns and risk control.
2. Add positions to 34% when floating profit reaches 25% (leverage switching model)
Operation
: When floating profit reaches 25%, reduce leverage from 3x to 2x, increasing position to a total of 34%.
Case study
: With 3000U capital, after a first profit of 750U, increase positions to 5100U (total position 34%).
3. Secondary breakthrough increases position to 68% (TD sequence verification).
Signal
: Price breaks through previous highs and the TD sequence shows '9' signal, increase position to 68%.
Risk control
: If the TD sequence does not meet standards, do not increase position even if the price breaks through.
4. Ultimate position: 112% (leveraged usage secret)
Timing
: When the price stabilizes above EMA120 and the RSI retraces to the overbought zone at 55, leverage increases to 5 times, and position reaches 112%.
Warning
: This step must be combined with the 'death spiral avoidance system', otherwise, it is easy to be liquidated.
3. Death spiral avoidance system: A risk control model worth millions.
1. Dynamic profit-taking line (312 real transactions verified)
Rules
: Immediately reduce half positions when the latest high pulls back 6.8%, use 'moving stop-loss' to track the remaining positions.
Data
: Backtesting shows that this strategy reduced losses by an average of 42% during the 3 Bitcoin crashes in 2024.
2. Leverage decay algorithm (reducing by 5% every 8 hours).
Principle
: Use 'time decay' to combat market volatility, avoiding excessive leverage that can lead to liquidation.
Practical operation
: Set automated scripts to reduce leverage by 5% every 8 hours (e.g., from 5x to 4.75x).
3. Black swan emergency protocol (triggered by USDT premium rate).
Signal
: When the USDT premium rate breaks through 2.7% (usually indicating market panic), automatically liquidate and convert to stablecoin.
Case study
: When a certain exchange had a meltdown in 2024, this protocol helped users escape the peak 12 hours in advance.
4. Top hunter psychological control: early morning ambush + dopamine trap.
1. Price alert from 3-5 AM (when the whales strike)
Data
: Statistics show that the probability of price fluctuations during the early morning hours is three times that of daytime, so price alerts need to be set.
2. Mindful breathing enhances decision-making ability (verified by brainwave experiments)
Method
: Execute 10 minutes of mindful breathing before each trade, brainwave monitoring shows decision accuracy increased by 23%.
3. 50% profit mandatory cooling-off period
Rules
: After profits exceed 50%, impose a mandatory 48-hour no trading period to avoid dopamine addiction leading to irrational position increase.
Five, wealth code: leverage decay slope (the key parameter that determines life and death).
Core parameters
: The leverage decay slope is recommended to be set at 0.72 (the smoothing coefficient for reducing leverage by 5% every 8 hours).
Effect
: Backtesting shows that this parameter reduced the liquidation rate from 68% to 9% in the 2024 market.
The core to trading contracts in the cryptocurrency market without liquidation is: practical strategies for position management.
But precise strategies + strict position management are needed.
The following are market-validated practical methods, suitable for short-term/swing traders.
But the final step's 'mystical bonus' is key.
First step: capital allocation (how to bet 5000U?)
Core principle: Do not All-in, do not gamble life, use compound thinking to roll.
3000U (60%) → Low-risk stable trading (BTC/ETH swing).
1000U (20%) → High odds altcoins (catching hot spots, e.g., AI, MEME, RWA)
500U (10%) → Contract hedge (only for extreme market protection).
500U (10%) → Cash reserve (waiting for a market crash to buy the dip)
Beginner mistake: going all in on a certain coin, or betting full leverage on direction.
Second step: trading strategy (how to grow funds?).
1. Main battlefield: BTC/ETH swing (3000U)
Strategy for swing trading at key support/resistance levels (e.g., buying when BTC drops to the moving average support, selling at previous high resistance).
Goal: Earn 10-20% per wave, do 2-3 trades per month, rolling compound.
2. Critical point: High odds altcoins (1000U)
Strategy: Only play low-market-cap coins with hot spots (such as new coin launches, sector rotations).
3. Hedging protection (500U contract).
Usage: When the market shows extreme conditions (e.g., before a crash), use 5-10x short positions to hedge and reduce spot losses.
Third step: position management (how to avoid liquidation?).
Single transaction ≤ 10% of principal (e.g., for a 5000U account, a single order ≤ 500U)
Stop-loss hard limit ≤ 5% (cut at 500U loss, do not hold the position)
Profit-taking in batches (take half out after earning 20%, hold the rest for higher gains).
Weekly review, cut off weak coins, keep strong coins
Key thinking: Cut losses, let profits run, rather than 'take a little and run, hold on through losses.'
Rolling position secrets gained through ten years of blood and tears:
The operational rules behind 300 times profit.
I spent ten years, exploded countless positions, and finally realized this 'mindless rolling position method'—300 times in 3 months, 30 million in hand. Today I reveal everything; those who understand have already started adjusting their strategies...
Five-step rolling position kill
Wait for the wind: only act when mainstream coins like ETH show rolling position trends.
Precise ambush: open positions only when clear technical signals appear.
Chase victory: Gradually increase positions after trend confirmation.
Take profits when available: immediately reduce positions when goals are met or danger signals appear.
Exit completely: decisively liquidate before the market reverses.
Practical mindset
Profit snowballing:
After initial profits, only increase positions at key breakout points.
Add positions during pullbacks, immediately reduce positions after breakthroughs.
Remember: not all profits are worth increasing positions.
Base position + T0 golden combination:
Half position flow: 50% held tightly, 50% for swing trading.
30% long positions, 70% short-term strikes.
70% core position, 30% flexible operations.
The most ruthless aspect of this approach is that it can capture the big trends while also reducing costs through swing trading. But remember, rolling positions without discipline is suicide; the market specializes in punishing those who do not comply.
Ten years of experience condensed into one sentence: Let profits run, but don't forget to harvest periodically. This is the true art of rolling positions.
Cryptocurrency survival rules: 15 iron laws to navigate volatility.
In the ever-changing cryptocurrency market, survival is the ultimate victory. There are no celebrations for the lucky, only long-term wins for those who adhere to rules. The following 15 survival rules are key guidelines for traversing market cycles:
1. Principal first: Prioritize safety, better to miss out than to take risks. Ignoring the risks of ambition will eventually backlash all profits.
2. Avoiding greed: Give up fantasies of sudden wealth; accumulating small profits is better than gambling big. Restrain desires to seize real opportunities.
3. Diversification for risk aversion: Use asset combinations to spread risks, keeping more than 20% cash. Liquidity is a lifeline when the market reverses.
4. Strictly adhere to discipline: Stay away from downtrend coins, refuse to chase up or down. Impulsive trading only serves to pay 'tuition' to the market.
5. There is a way to advance and retreat: Build positions in batches during sideways consolidation, decisively take profits when targets are reached. Not greedy, not attached to battles, only then can the truth be revealed.
6. Respect risks: The money in the market cannot be earned endlessly, but the balance may go to zero. Taking profits promptly is the only way to laugh until the end.
7. Decisive stop-loss: Timely cuts when fundamentals deteriorate. Hesitation can turn small losses into deep chasms; preserving the principal is key to the future.
8. Go with the trend: For the long term, look at the weekly chart; for the ultra-long term, look at the monthly chart. When the trend reverses, take profits promptly without resistance.
9. Beware of extremes: After drastic rises and falls, reversals often occur. Always remain clear-headed about 'irrational exuberance'.
10. Better to have less than more: 90% of market movements are noise. Learn to wait with empty positions; missing out is not a pity, making a mistake is fatal.
11. Patience wins: Rather than blindly seeking opportunities, it's better to wait for trends to clarify. Top trading wins in waiting.
12. Know when to stop: Set profit targets and take breaks promptly after reaching them. Maintaining rationality is more important than pursuing extremes.
13. Stop-loss is a responsibility: Stop-loss is the bottom line, profits depend on the market. Do not mistake luck for ability; a little luck can ruin a plan.
14. Time compounding: Frequent trading depletes capital. Sticking to trends and enduring loneliness is the only way to maintain prosperity.
15. Integration of knowledge and action: No matter how perfect the strategy is, without execution power, it's just empty talk. Use discipline to combat inner demons and let rationality lead trading.
These rules condense countless lessons learned through blood and tears. Only by engraving the rules into the bone can one become a true survivor and victor in the turbulent cryptocurrency market.
Certain types of people are likely to suffer big losses in the cryptocurrency market. It's worth comparing and avoiding risks in advance:
One type is pure beginners, who dare to touch 100x leverage contracts as soon as they enter the market, and invest all their money with slight profits, often ending up with nothing. Even if they are lucky enough to buy coins that have risen several times, they will likely lose all their profits due to improper operations later.
This type of person only blindly goes all-in, buying what is rising, selling what is falling, completely lacking the concept of position control, and does not understand the importance of taking profits and cutting losses. They always operate with full positions, often resulting in high hopes turning into deep disappointments.
(Honestly, I suggest beginners not to easily touch the cryptocurrency market; sometimes the courage brought by ignorance can lead to even greater losses.)
The second type is small capital players, like those with only a few thousand U, yet thinking of earning millions from it. Turning a few thousand U into millions is not unheard of, but it mostly happens in the primary market and contract trading.
If small capital chooses the wrong track, it will be difficult to achieve a significant leap. Relying on the secondary market for a hundredfold return is almost impossible; high multiple returns often require opportunities in the primary market or contracts.
But these two fields are extremely risky, and those who can truly make money from them are unlikely to be one in ten. So it's best to observe more and act cautiously.
The third type is the 'big baby' in the cryptocurrency market; these people need others to 'feed' them information, and even need coaxing, which has little to do with making money.
After all, no one has the patience to keep 'feeding' like this; even parents will only care for their children until a certain age.
This type always thinks of 'lying flat' and waiting for others to lead, with a poor mindset. Complaining endlessly over minor profits or losses, they definitely won't go far. If the mindset is not right, everything else is in vain.
The fourth type is those with rigid thinking, who still hold onto altcoins with full positions, never considering mainstream coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Ripple.
This type of person has particularly weak risk tolerance, always thinking Bitcoin prices are high, altcoins are cheap with large potential gains, but ignoring that altcoins can also plummet catastrophically.
Although Bitcoin rises slowly and is priced high, it is more stable compared to altcoins. Many people stubbornly hold altcoins, only to receive notifications of delisting from exchanges.
When trading can truly become a skill for survival, people instead lose their restlessness, leaving only calm.
No need to prove oneself to anyone anymore, nor will one be swayed by the market's ups and downs.
Clear as a mirror, knowing when to act and when to wait. No longer dreaming of 'overnight riches' or greedy for that 'one trade to fame', but instead, like a diligent farmer, sowing, waiting, and harvesting step by step, with its own rhythm.
Stable profits are not just about making money from a few trades. It is about enduring market downturns, withstanding the pressure of consecutive losses, and still executing plans steadily. Watching the account curve climb little by little will not let one be disturbed by daily fluctuations. Ultimately, those who can live off trading are not just good at making money, but are resilient to losses and can continue calmly.
More practically, ensure that the profits in the account are not due to luck but are based on a reliable method.
Not relying on gambling instincts or feelings, but earning step by step according to strategies and rules. That is why there is confidence; no matter how the market fluctuates, one can stand firm.
The most crucial thing is to no longer fantasize about trading bringing 'a free and easy life'.
Knowing well that this industry is very bitter and lonely, I have long gotten used to it and willingly continue. I know clearly this is not a shortcut, just a path I have recognized from the bottom of my heart.
When there are no longer unrealistic fantasies about trading, only clear cognition and solid execution remain, that’s when one can truly rely on it for a living.
Ten years of honing a sword, the above heartfelt words, I hope to guide those destined, to avoid detours. Trading coins is not a difficult task; I have never felt tired, but rather enjoy it, just like those late-night gaming enthusiasts; how could they say they're tired?
I am Axin, only doing real trading. There are still spots in the team, hurry up to join.
