I liked your analysis! It makes clear that the enthusiasm that some use as reliable information for making purchases and sales is what separates men from boys!

Some learning in the short time in the crypto market.

1 - $XRP is the crypto that only insiders profit from. Millions of theories, now it will reach $10, $100, it simply won't because the insiders manipulate.
I once had 10k of $XRP and was happy when I left at break-even. Now, it would have to be gifted, and it won't even heat up in my wallet.

2 - Launchpool and Airdrop. Only the whales, who are usually insiders, do well.
In the past, it was possible to study a project, invest, and profit. Nowadays, new cryptos are launched every 5 minutes.
I participated in several Launchpools, only Solana surpassed the $100 mark.
However, Solana and I have incompatibilities, haha, if I buy, I lose money.

3 - Launchpool and Airdrops, usually the market drops in the first few days, as there is a very large portion of people who earned the coin and have no intention of holding it. The selling pressure is high. If you want to invest in the project, it's better to wait a few days, about 3 days, which is when the market usually normalizes.

4 - After trading several cryptos, I currently only make specific trades with the mentioned cryptos.

I wouldn't want $XRP even if it were painted in gold, and particularly, I enjoy laughing at the predictions and projections of new investors.

I hope this report serves as a compass for some.