This week, the cryptocurrency market welcomes a critical juncture—$4.9 trillion worth of stocks and ETF options are about to expire, drawing attention to the price fluctuations of Bitcoin and altcoins. #BTC Holds steady in a key range, but #山寨币 recent performance has been slightly lacking; meanwhile, on-chain large capital and institutional movements are quietly laying the groundwork for the next round of market trends. #山寨季将至？
BTC: A high-risk test under option expiration
BTC has recently performed robustly, but most altcoins have not been so fortunate. Over the past two months, aside from a few new and popular coins, most altcoins have fallen behind. Data shows that in the past 60 days, among 55 mainstream altcoins, only 11 have outperformed Bitcoin. It seems that BTC may continue to remain in the spotlight for a while until larger altcoins regain momentum in the later stages of the cycle.
Concerns over options expiration
On September 20, options worth 4.9 trillion USD for stocks and ETFs will expire, and traders are already on edge.
Historical experience shows that similar situations often lead to a decline first, followed by a rebound. For example, in March and June 2025, there were short-term fluctuations and even dips. Analyst TedPillows warns: market leverage is too high, and a crash is almost inevitable. Pain may come first, but it's also possible that BTC will create a new historical high afterwards.
High-risk 'liquidation battle'
Currently, BTC is hovering between two key price ranges—
120,000 USD: Bears may be liquidated 💥
114,000 USD: Bulls may be heavily impacted ⚡
Both sides' leverage is at the tens of billions level, which means that regardless of whether the market goes up or down next, a batch of traders may be eliminated. In the next market move, BTC is likely to continue being the market focus, while altcoins may need to wait a bit longer.
Altcoins: Structural momentum opportunities, potential 10x coin highlights
Although the overall market is dominated by BTC, many altcoins have already shown structural momentum opportunities. After several months of compressed consolidation, once a breakout occurs, it may usher in an accelerated market. Short-term traders can focus on the following conditions to select altcoin targets:
Technical Analysis: Narrow range fluctuations for over 3 months, breaking through several weeks of new highs, and stabilizing above the 20/50 EMA.
Volume Momentum: Relatively strong against BTC/ETH, with volume expanding to 2-3 times the 20-day average volume, daily transaction volume ≥ 10 million USD.
Sector Rotation: Pay attention to sector hotspots, such as Solana, BSC, AI, DeFi, etc., as capital flows often have traceable patterns.
Recent high-potential projects (10x or explosive opportunities) include:
INJ (Injective): Current price around 14.4 USD, support at 10-12 USD, breaking through 20-22 USD could clear the path to 30-47 USD, with potential gains of 250%+!
NEAR: Daily technical indicators support an upward trend, breaking through 3.6 USD could aim for an 8 USD high point, with support at 2.62 USD.
XRP: Momentum indicators are turning bullish, and it may break through the resistance levels of 3.20-3.40 USD in the short term.
AVAX: Breaking through the key level of 30 USD, short-term target 35-40 USD, medium-term could challenge 55 USD.
In addition, UNI, MYX, AVNT, ASTER, BARD, and other recent on-chain funds concentrated and contract-active leading currencies are also worth paying attention to, with potential returns being considerable, and some projects easily starting from 10x short-term returns.
On-chain hotspots and institutional funds: Major actions have been initiated
Recently, industry leaders have been frequently active: Sun Ge launched the on-chain perpetual contract platform Sunperp to rival HYPE, and new projects are also being laid out on the TRX chain, with short-term Dogecoin opportunities emerging. For traders, buying leading MEME or popular projects is more prudent, avoiding blind rushes.
From an institutional perspective, ETF fund flows are evident: BTC has a slight outflow of 51 million, ETH has an outflow of 1.6 million, but BlackRock is still seeing inflows. Solana has recently gained significant institutional attention, with a single transaction pouring in 4 billion USD in buying pressure, driving prices stronger than the broader market.
Stablecoins, payments, AI, RWA, staking, and other sectors are also frequently emerging, with leading quality projects still being the first choice for funds, and future potential remains promising.
Summary:
The core focus of the cryptocurrency market this week can be summarized in three points:
BTC options expiration brings volatility and risk; the short-term direction remains unclear, but potential opportunities are enormous.
Structural opportunities for altcoins are emerging, with momentum trading, increased volume, and sector rotation being key.
On-chain hotspots and institutional fund activity are active; inflows into ETFs, Solana, Perp projects, etc., are injecting new momentum into the market.
Whether it's the fluctuations in BTC's key range, the accelerated breakthroughs of altcoins, or the capital layout on-chain, opportunities and risks coexist in the cryptocurrency space. Traders should pay attention to key support and resistance levels while maintaining flexible operations to catch the first wave of accelerated market trends as they start. The next round of market movements may stir up a storm.💎
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