Will there be an interest rate cut tonight?
Will there be a black swan? I remember in the previous few years of continuous interest rate hikes, when the entire market predicted that the Federal Reserve would lower interest rates, thirteen was very conservative at the time, believing that there was a possibility that rates would not be lowered.
As a result, the interest rate cut landed without any surprises.
Later I understood that the interest rate cut is not solely decided by the Federal Reserve; the U.S. is a system controlled by oligarchic consortiums, and whether to cut rates is not something Powell can decide.
What really matters is the oligarchic consortium.
Powell is just a spokesperson.
In addition to the employment situation in the previous months, Trump's continued pressure, and the consortium led by BlackRock continuously buying at the bottom.
This issue of interest rate cuts should not pose too big a problem.
If the situation of continuing not to lower interest rates really occurs, it means someone has moved their crooked mind again, preparing to harvest.
Therefore, I hope everyone in the thirteenth circle continues to maintain our steady investment strategy, remains calm in the face of temptation, and we only eat the meat within our understanding; we do not aspire for what is beyond our understanding.
Don't expect to achieve financial freedom in the crypto world in one go. In fact, for some investors, achieving financial freedom in the crypto world is not that difficult as long as you can plan well.
Using the three rounds of bull and bear cycles to roll over, the opportunity for financial freedom is quite large.
However, 99% of people do not have this patience.
If your inner strength is strong enough and you hope to join our thirteenth circle, we will take about 10 years to test how much our wealth can appreciate.
2,
Has the bear market arrived?
This is the question everyone is most concerned about right now. After all, the friends in the thirteenth circle have made quite a bit, and if they take profits and exit at this position, they can still make a little money.
If there is still a big market ahead, it feels a bit unwilling to exit now.
So returning to the initial topic, has the bear market really arrived?
We do not need to listen to some charlatans' predictions; no one knows the answer. The only thing we can do is believe in high-probability events.
Thirteen is quite optimistic about the upcoming big market.
As for those who tell you that now is the highest point of the market and that the bear market is coming, everyone needs to judge and disprove themselves.
Everyone can look at the past history; the end of every bull market occurs when the market is extremely crazy, and altcoins are doubling crazily.
At this time, countless retail investors will rush into the crypto world, contributing their hard-earned money. When everyone is at the climax, it suddenly ends.
At the climax, the retail investors cannot take profits and exit; they will continuously gather funds to increase their stakes.
As adults, we all know that when people reach a climax, the last thing they want is to exit.
This is human nature and cannot be changed.
Looking back at this round of the bull market, this climax has not yet arrived.
Most altcoins are still at the bottom of the bear market.
Based on this, Thirteen believes that the probability of entering a bear market right now is extremely low.
Therefore, we must manage our positions well and not easily exit. We believe that there will still be a big market in the crypto world.
3,
Tonight's interest rate meeting, many people may be waiting for the results.
Thirteen is getting older and might not hold up, will go to bed on time. After all, regardless of the result, the impact is not significant.
Those short-term arbitrage investors are quite nervous right now.
The result has actually been predicted by the market and will not have a significant impact on the price; a 25% move is basically a done deal.
What truly affects the market is the speech of Powell after the results are announced.
Is the speech content hawkish or dovish? How many times will interest rates be lowered? How long will the rate cuts last? When will a new round of tightening start?
These issues are the key factors affecting the market.
When this content comes out, it will probably be around 3 or 4 o'clock at night.
Those with conditions can try to pay attention in real-time.
In fact, for the remaining three months this year, Thirteen is quite optimistic about the market.
In the upcoming October and December, there will be another rate cut cycle respectively; the market predicts three rate cuts this year. If old Powell speaks too hawkish tonight, the market may fall instead of rise.
On this point, everyone should be mentally prepared.
This decline is not the usual meaning of good news leading to bad news but is a normal market reaction.
After all, the institutions that are continuously buying chips now are public about their every move. It is not so easy to sell in the short term.
Their profit-taking will definitely happen when retail investors are extremely euphoric.
At some point, everyone will have an illusion that the market will only rise and never fall, just like at the bottom of a bear market when fear is at its peak, and there seems to be no hope. All retail investors believe the market will only fall and not rise.
If you have this feeling, it means it's time to take profit or buy at the bottom.
Come on, crypto people,
Welcome to follow Thirteen, together we will traverse the bull and bear markets and see through the worldly matters of cryptocurrency.
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