🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Rate Forecasts — September 2025

Tomorrow — a key Federal Reserve meeting. Most analysts expect the start of a rate-cutting cycle. Here's how major banks see the situation:

📉 Expectations for September:

▪️ Bank of America — two cuts of 25 bps (September and December)

▪️ Barclays, BNP Paribas, Jefferies, JPMorgan — minus 25 bps

▪️ Standard Chartered — minus 50 bps

▪️ Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo — minus 75 bps by the end of the year

▪️ UBS — at least one cut in 2025, the entire cycle — down to -200 bps by the end of 2026

📊 What does this mean for the markets?

▪️ BofA expects stock growth amid a strong U.S. economy

▪️ Fundstrat (Tom Lee) predicts a rally for BTC, ETH, and NASDAQ 🚀

🔴 But there is a nuance: historically, U.S. markets have often fallen after the start of a easing cycle — especially during a weak economy.

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