Ethereum (ETH) 24-Hour to One-Week Price Trend Simple Analysis

Current Price and Recent Performance

As of September 16, 2025, the ETH price is approximately $4,520-$4,660 USD, with a slight decline of 0.35%-1.82% in the past 24 hours, but an increase of about 6%-8.31% over the past 7 days, indicating a short-term rebound momentum. The market capitalization is approximately $546B-$563B, with a 24-hour trading volume of $37B-$40B. ETH has rebounded from the August low of $4,070, breaking through the downtrend line and standing above the critical support of $4,500, with an August ATH of $4,955.

Technical Analysis

Short-term Indicators: On the 4-hour chart, the 50-day MA is rising, and the MACD histogram reaches 20.69, indicating bullish momentum. ETH has formed a descending wedge breakout, and the Ichimoku cloud band supports upward movement. If it holds above $4,648 (200 EMA), it could test the resistance at $4,760; otherwise, it may pull back to $4,550-$4,600.

24-Hour Trend: It may trade sideways or rise slightly by 0.25%-3%, influenced by BTC correlation. If ETF inflows continue (yesterday $113M), the price may rise to $4,700. Risk: If it falls below $4,500, there could be a short-term dip to $4,375.

One-Week Trend: Generally bullish, targeting $4,950-$5,200 (+11%), testing the 52-week high of $4,832. Fibonacci indicates that if it breaks $4,760, it could reach $5,000. Analysts from platform X predict a rise to $5,200 before September 21, but caution against a “buy the rumor, sell the news” pullback after the FOMC meeting.

Fundamental Factors

Positive Drivers: ETH ETF weekly inflow of $638M-$3.3B, institutional accumulation of $189M, and exchange balances dropping to YTD lows (reduced selling pressure). Pectra upgrade advancing in Q4, Layer 2 expansion +3.5% staking rewards + fee burning mechanism, supporting deflation. Whale accumulation + Hong Kong regulatory easing, boosting demand.

Risks: After a 25bps rate cut by the Federal Reserve, there could be a “sell the news” event; if BTC pulls back, ETH may also dip to $4,211-$4,000. The overall bull market window is limited before the end of September, with potential deeper adjustments to $3,700-$3,900 in October.

Overall Outlook

In 24 Hours: Stable or slightly upward, focusing on the $4,600 support. Within a Week: Generally bullish, with a 60% probability of rising to $5,000, driven by ETF + technical factors, but vigilance against a pullback to $4,500 (40% probability). Long-term view targets $5,500-$6,925 in 2025, but with significant short-term volatility, monitoring volume & BTC is advised. DYOR, not investment advice. #ETH