Current situation (September 8, 2025):
- Price: ~$0.40–0.4784 USD (based on data from CoinMarketCap, Coinbase, Binance, Gate.com, SwapSpace).
- Context: SOMI is the native token of Somnia, a decentralized platform for metaverses and virtual worlds, launched in 2024 on Ethereum. It supports the creation of virtual spaces, NFTs, and DeFi. Market capitalization: ~$63.91–160.2 million USD (rank ~400–489). Trading volume: ~$1.19–181.69 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~160.2 million SOMI, maximum: 1 billion. The price has fallen by ~42.06% from ATH ($0.69, June 2025), but shows volatility: -16.78–32.03% over 24h, -42.06% over 7 days. Positive on X: bullish sentiment, expectations of growth. Criticism: volatility, low liquidity (Greta0086).
Technical forecast for 2026:
- Prices:
- Optimistic: $1.21–$1.82 USD (growth of 150–350%) in a bull market and success of metaverses.
- Neutral: $0.42–$0.985 USD (growth of 0–150%).
- Pessimistic: $0.35–$0.40 USD during corrections or loss of interest.
- Levels:
- Support: $0.3915–0.40 USD, $0.35–0.37 USD.
- Resistance: $0.4784–0.50 USD, $0.8725–1.00 USD.
- Trend: Bearish in the short term. The daily chart shows consolidation (RSI ~30–70, 50 MA below 200 MA). Breakout at $0.50 may raise the price to $0.8725–1.00, drop below $0.3915 — to $0.35. Forecasts: Coinbase — $0.42, PricePrediction.net — $1.21, Gate.com — $0.8725, Binance — $0.985–1.293, CoinCodex — $0.35–0.998.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem: Somnia supports metaverses, NFTs, DeFi. TVL: ~$50–100 million. Integration with 71 trading pairs.
- Partnerships: Binance, Coinbase, Gate.io, OKX, Bybit.
- Tokenomics: 16% of tokens in circulation, unlocks until 2030. SOMI is used for governance, staking (APR ~3–5%), and burning fees.
- Community: Positive on X, expectations of growth to $1.00–1.50. The metaverse market is growing (CAGR ~25–30% by 2030). BTC halving (2024) and pro-crypto U.S. policies support the market (99Bitcoins).
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify SOMI as a security.
- Volatility: Low capitalization (~$63–160 million) is vulnerable to whales.
- Unlocks: ~839.8 million tokens until 2030 may exert pressure on price.
- Competition: Decentraland, The Sandbox in metaverses.
- Pessimism: CoinCodex predicts a decline of -20.15% to $0.980178 by October 2025.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections up to $0.3915–0.40 USD, stop below $0.35 USD. Target: $0.8725–1.00 USD. Staking (APR ~3–5%) for income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at $0.50 USD, target $0.8725–1.00 USD. Sell below $0.3915 USD, target $0.35–0.37 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of deposit due to volatility, unlocks, and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulations, decline in interest in metaverses, drop in ETH.