"Why can XRP reach $50 in December 2025?" The brutal answer: Larry "Pumpius" isn't busy playing around, he says it's not a fantasy—it's math plus market structure, not an empty promise. Let's break down why he thinks it's possible.
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The Crazy Logic That Makes $50 XRP Make Sense
1. The Entry of Institutional Jets via ETF
Pumpius (a veteran Bitcoin investor) mentions: if the XRP spot ETF is approved by the end of October 2025, it could open up a flood of institutional capital—RIA, wealth managers, corporates, pensions—directly flowing into XRP.
Estimation: inflow of $10–18 billion before the end of the year.
2. Limited Effective Supply
Many XRP are locked in escrow (~35 billion tokens)—the float in the market is thin. Crazy demand + limited supply = extreme price pressure.
3. Institutional Infrastructure is Already 'Mature'
XRP futures are already live on CME & Coinbase Derivatives.
Regulation has a green light post-legal victory against the SEC.
So the ETF door, spot, derivatives, everything is ready to go.
4. This Rally is Not Speculative—But “Math + Structure”
Pumpius says, “If the ETF is approved—this is not hopium, this is a logical pathway.”
With that, the target of $50 per XRP becomes a pathway—not just a dream.
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Why Are So Many Skeptical?
Reason Brutal Reality
Surge from $2.80 to $50 Needs growth of 1,680%—with market cap from ~$168B to ~$3T—supply must be truly chaotic.
Small XRP Infrastructure Volume and adoption are still far behind BTC/ETH—so the scale of movement must be very massive.
In essence: Why is $50 Not a Fantasy?
1. The trigger of the spot ETF opens institutional access without license compliance drama.
2. Limited supply + large inflow = the fundamental law of supply-demand.
3. Clear regulation + complete derivative infrastructure = the market is ready to absorb.
4. Positive momentum + FOMO getting hotter—it could force a squeeze if there is a strong catalyst.
