An execution plan for entering and exiting a trade based on the current Bitcoin price of $110,053, with updates to support and resistance levels and entry and exit points
📌 First: the current situation
Current price: ≈ $110,053 ✅ (Date and time of plan preparation: 6/9/2025 — 19:35 UTC)
The current rise is a result of expectations of interest rate cuts following weak job data on /5/9.
The market is in high volatility before the inflation report (CPI) is released on Thursday 11/9/2025
📊 Second: Updated Technical Levels
Strong resistance 112,800 – 114,000 if broken → Strong bullish wave
Medium resistance 111,500, potential partial selling area
Major support 107,800 – 106,500, short-term support
Very strong support 104,500 – 103,000, expected rebound in case of correction
Final defensive support 100,800, breaking it leads us into a sharp downward wave
📈 Third: Updated Scenarios
🔹 Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
Activation Condition: Inflation data (CPI) lower than expectations → Confirmation of interest rate cut in the Federal meeting.
First Target: $112,800
Second Target: $114,000
Extended Target: $118,500
Stop loss: Breaking $107,800 with a 4-hour close.
Entry Strategy:
Initial purchase between $109,200 – $110,000.
Reinforcement if the price returns to test $107,800.
🔹 Bearish Scenario (40% Probability)
Activation Condition: Inflation data (CPI) higher than expected → Delay in interest rate cut.
First Target: $107,800
Second Target: $104,500
Extended Target: $100,800
Stop loss: Breaking $112,800 with a daily close.
Entry Strategy:
Take partial profits near $111,500 if the price fails to break.
Gradual repurchase between $107,800 and $104,500.
⚠️ Fourth: Risk Management:
Recommended risk percentage: 1.5% – 2% of capital per trade.
Gradual entry is better than full entry at once.
Securing profits: When achieving a 5% gain, move the stop loss to the entry point.
🧠 Fifth: Summary
The market is currently in a very sensitive area before the CPI report is released.
Breaking $112,800 = A bullish wave that could reach $118,500.
Breaking $107,800 = Start of correction down to $104,500 or lower.
We are waiting for inflation data 11/9/2025 to confirm the path.