What is the most tragic thing for retail investors in the crypto circle? Staring at the BTC dollar price and shouting "It's too high to buy," yet not realizing they have missed out on the core logic of "lying flat can also double" - using gold as a standard to look at BTC, it hasn't even moved from its low point in 2022! This is not just a pep talk; it is my practical experience from losing for half a year to figuring out a 10x path. Today, I will expose the "anti-common sense money-making method" to help you avoid 90% of the chasing high traps!
Let’s break a misconception: what you see as "BTC skyrocketing" is actually "the dollar is depreciating!"
I dare say that 80% of people have been fooled by the dollar price of BTC - open the market software and see it rise from 15,000 dollars in November 2022 to now 60,000 dollars, instinctively thinking "It has increased by 3 times, it's too high, I don't dare to enter." But if you measure it with a “gold standard,” you will be shocked:
In November 2022, 1 BTC could be exchanged for 1200 grams of gold (at that time gold was about 125 dollars / gram); by now in 2025, 1 BTC can still only be exchanged for 1200 grams of gold (now gold has soared to 500 dollars / gram)!
What does it mean? Equivalent to in 2022 you exchanged 1 BTC for 1200 grams of gold, which could make 3 pieces of 100-gram gold necklaces + 2 pieces of 50-gram gold bracelets; now you can still only exchange for this much jewelry with 1 BTC — the dollar price has risen, but the 'real hard currency purchasing power' hasn't moved!
It’s like in 2020 when you had 1000 yuan, you could buy 200 jin of rice; by 2025, 1000 yuan can only buy 100 jin of rice. On the surface, the money hasn’t decreased, but 'the things that can be exchanged have decreased' — the rise in BTC's dollar price is essentially the dollar depreciating, gold appreciating, while BTC's 'digital gold value' has not truly started!
Data contrast exploded: Fiat currency standard 'bull market frenzy', gold standard 'lying flat'
I specially organized two groups of comparative data, after watching you will understand how much the current 'bull market' resembles a 'warm-up exercise':
Pricing method November 2022 (cycle low point) Now in 2025 (current situation) Increase / Change Retail investor response
Dollar standard 15,000 dollars / piece 60,000 dollars / piece Increase of 300%, seemingly a big bull market 'Soaring too high, don't dare to buy for fear of being left holding the bag'
Gold standard 1 BTC = 1200 grams of gold 1 BTC = 1200 grams of gold 0 increase, lying flat No one notices, but it hides a great opportunity
Why is this happening? The core is 'gold rises with BTC, BTC's dollar increase is offset by gold' — in the past two years, gold has risen from 125 dollars / gram to 500 dollars / gram, an increase of 3 times, just coinciding with BTC's dollar increase. What does this indicate? BTC has not outperformed gold yet, has not begun to snatch gold's 'value preservation cake' — and this is the core battlefield of the 10 times bull market!
Calculate a 'fool's account': In 2033 BTC surpasses gold, how to achieve 10 times in 8 years?
Don't think that 'BTC surpasses gold' is just pie in the sky, I calculated a practical account based on market value, and after reading it you will feel 'this opportunity is much more stable than stock trading':
Step one: First look at the current 'market value gap'
The total market value of gold: about 12 trillion dollars (20,000 tons have been mined globally, calculated at 500 dollars / gram, 1 ton = 1 million grams, 20,000 tons = 2e9 grams, 2e9 grams × 500 dollars = 1e12 dollars = 12 trillion);
The total market value of BTC: about 1.2 trillion dollars (60,000 dollars / piece × 19.5 million pieces mined ≈ 1.17 trillion, rounded to 1.2 trillion);
Conclusion: The current market value of BTC is only equivalent to 1/10 of gold!
Step two: How much does it need to rise to surpass gold in 2033?
Assuming that in 2033 the total market value of gold remains 12 trillion (conservatively calculated, after all gold is still being mined at 3000 tons a year, the market value may be higher), BTC must surpass gold, and the total market value must be at least 12 trillion.
Based on the total supply of BTC being 21 million pieces: 12 trillion ÷ 21 million pieces ≈ 570,000 dollars / piece!
Now BTC is 60,000 dollars / piece, 570,000 ÷ 60,000 ≈ 9.5 times — almost 10 times the space!
Step three: How can this 10 times be realized?
I'm not just talking nonsense, there are 3 'irreversible' logics here:
Institutions are crazily grabbing 'digital gold quotas': Blackstone, Fidelity and these giants are not fools, after the approval of spot ETFs in 2024, the highest daily inflow reached 2 billion dollars, and now the proportion of BTC held by institutions has increased from 5% to 18% — they are not buying 'speculative coins', but 'asset allocation to replace gold';
The 'digital age shortcoming' of gold is too obvious: If you want to transport 1000 grams of gold from the United States to China, you have to spend on security fees, shipping fees, and tariffs, and wait for 10 days; but with 1 BTC transferred, just input an address and it arrives in 5 minutes, the handling fee is only a few dollars, and it can be split into 100 million parts (1 Satoshi = 1 hundred millionth of 1 BTC), buying 100 pieces can still participate — people in the digital age will definitely choose convenience;
BTC is scarcer than gold: Gold can still be mined 3000 tons a year, the more it is mined the more there is; but the total supply of BTC is fixed at 21 million pieces, after the halving in 2024 the block reward will drop from 6.25 pieces to 3.125 pieces, and then to 1.5625 pieces in 2028, the new supply is getting less and less — scarcity is valuable, this is an eternal truth!
Finally, let me say something heartfelt: Don't be 'scared' by the dollar price, the gold standard is the 'mirror to reveal the truth'
When I cried from losses in 2022, I was just staring at the dollar price: I didn’t dare to buy at 15,000 dollars, chased in when it rose to 30,000 dollars, and cut losses when it fell back to 20,000 dollars — later I realized that watching the dollar price is being 'deceived by appearances'.
Until I started calculating based on 'gold standard': in 2022, 1 BTC exchanged for 1200 grams of gold, in 2023 still 1200 grams, in 2024 still not increased — it was at this point that I realized: the current rise in dollar prices is just 'warming up', the real bull market is the process of BTC starting to outperform gold and snatching gold's market value!
Just like in 2015, when the price of BTC was 2000 dollars, the gold standard didn't increase either, then it surged to 20,000 dollars, and the gold standard also increased 10 times — the current situation is exactly the same as it was then!
Do you have BTC in hand? Why not calculate: How many grams of gold could you exchange for 1 BTC when you bought it, and how much can you exchange now? If it’s still about the same, then congratulations, the 'real value' in your hand is still at the low point, and the 10 times opportunity is not lost yet!
Share your 'BTC gold standard bill' in the comments: for example, 'I bought it for 30,000 dollars in 2023, at that time I could exchange it for 1200 grams of gold, and now it is still 1200 grams'. Let's track this 'digital gold replacement' big opportunity together, and look back in 8 years, we might all laugh out loud!
