BREAKING: BULL RUN WILL END IN 50 DAYS!

Cycle Peak Countdown indicator says $BTC is 95% done

I researched all the data and found smth interesting

Here is what will happen and why we will dump hard soon

āž« Before we get started

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āž« Market cycles are simple but brutal

ā Bitcoin rises in four acts

- Accumulation

- Rally

- Euphoric blow-off

- Crash

ā We’re deep in act three – profit is everywhere, sentiment is high, and history says the finale comes fast

ā Let me explain morešŸ‘‡

āž« On-chain confirms it

ā Nearly 90% of supply is in profit, MVRV and NUPL are stretched

ā That kind of across-the-board profitability only happens near cycle tops

ā It’s the moment when holders turn into sellers, setting the stage for reversals

āž« Spot ETFs hold ~$142B AUM, flows flipped positive again in September after summer outflows

ā Yet inflows are modest, not euphoric

ā That’s late-stage behavior – cautious buying into what could be the final leg

āž« Seasonality strengthens the case

ā Sep 2025 was flat at +2.3%, keeping the weak late-summer pattern

ā But Q4 flips the script:

+10.8% Oct 2024

+37.3% Nov 2024

+25.5% Oct 2023

+42.9% Nov 2020

ā Oct – Nov has always delivered the parabolic moves that close bull cycles

āž« Price action already mimics past cycles

ā August’s $124K ATH followed by a dip to ~$110K mirrors 2017 and 2021 late-summer pullbacks

ā Those dips were the pause before the blow-off

ā Key supports are $97–101K – lose them and the script breaks

āž« Miners are still in the green

ā Their average break-even cost sits near $95K, while BTC trades above $111K

ā That margin keeps rigs running and removes forced selling pressure

ā As long as miners stay profitable, supply stress isn’t the trigger for a top just yet

āž« Now the timing math

ā We are 1,020 days past the Nov 2022 bottom, and past cycles topped after 1,060–1,100 days

ā That puts the peak in late Oct–mid Nov 2025 – roughly 50 days away

ā This isn’t guesswork: it’s the same rhythm that marked 2017 and 2021 blow-offs

āž« Halving confirms the timing

ā April 2024 cut block rewards in half, reducing new supply dramatically

ā Historically, cycle peaks follow 520–580 days later – and right now we’re 510 days in

ā That means we are entering zone where every past blow-off top has taken place

āž« What happens after the peak?

ā Each cycle has ended with a 70–80% drawdown stretched over 370–410 days

ā If BTC tops near $120K, the script points to ~$30K lows by late 2026

ā The bear always arrives slower than expected, but it never fails to come

āž« Altcoins always follow last

ā Bitcoin peaks first, then liquidity rotates as traders chase one final run in alts

ā That phase is fast and euphoric, but collapses hit harder than BTC

ā Both 2018 and 2021 proved the script – nothing suggests 2025 will be different

āž« All roads converge:

- On-chain greed

- Cautions ETF flows

- Explosive Q4 seasonality

- Cycle math

ā ~50 days remain for the blow-off top before winter sets in

ā Discipline now decides who keeps profits and who rides them back down

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