《The Underlying Currents in the Cryptocurrency World: How Did I Go from a 70% Loss to Seizing 'Hidden Alpha'?》
(This article does not recommend any projects and does not provide financial advice. It purely shares a thinking framework. For those with insufficient understanding, read with caution.)
If you are also looking for the 'next hundredfold coin', anxious about missing the bull market and being hurt by various communities and teachers, then stop for a moment. This content may overturn your understanding of 'making money'.
1. 99% of people got it wrong from the start; the cryptocurrency space is full of noise. Every day, how much time do you spend scrolling through KOLs' calls, watching low-quality scripts, and FOMO-ing into price rises in groups? You think you are 'researching', but in reality, you are chewing on the sugarcane scraps that others have chewed three times. The real Alpha is not in trending topics on Twitter or the codes of 'teachers', but hidden in on-chain data, project governance proposals, and the undervalued areas wrongly punished by market sentiment. I was once a retail investor too; in 2021, I chased high on LUNA, bet everything on NFTs, followed Musk's trades, and my account shrank by 70%. It was only later that I realized that emotions are the greatest enemy, and understanding is the only moat.
2. My 'Counter-Consensus' framework: How to identify signals in advance? Let me give a real example (not investment advice). Last year, during a pessimistic and volatile market, I found that the number of developer activities for a certain public chain was growing against the trend by 30%, while the coin price remained stagnant. Several obscure protocols in its ecosystem continued to accumulate TVL, and the discussion heat was severely inconsistent with the coin price. This is illogical; either the market is wrong, or I am wrong.
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