Many traders believe Bitcoin ($BTC) is following an old but famous financial roadmap — Samuel Benner’s cycle chart from 1875. According to this theory, 2026 is marked as a “B year” — the phase of high prices and the best time to sell.

🔑 Key Points

$BTC

bullish trend matches Benner’s cycle projection.

“A” years = market panics, “C” years = accumulation (buying opportunities like 2023–2024).

“B” years = booming markets, peak valuations — where smart investors start taking profit.

If the pattern holds, 2026 could bring euphoria and a major market top.

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📊 How the Benner Cycle Works

Samuel Benner, an Ohio farmer who lost everything in the 1873 panic, studied price behavior and built a long-term forecast chart extending into the future. His cycle divides markets into three repeating phases:

Line A (Panic Years): Sharp crashes and panic selling.

Line B (Boom Years): High prices, strong markets — ideal for selling.

Line C (Hard Times): Low prices, recessions — prime accumulation periods.

Some past examples:

He marked 1927 as a panic year, which was very close to the 1929 Great Depression.

He pointed to 1999 as a crash window, aligning with the dot-com bubble.

In recent crypto terms, 2023–2024 lined up as buying years (Line C), and now eyes are on 2026 (Line B) for peak valuations.

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🚀 Why Crypto Investors Pay Attention

$BTC Halving Alignment: The cycle’s 2025–2026 peak window lines up with Bitcoin’s typical post-halving bull cycle.

Macro Roadmap: Gives long-term investors a way to time entries and exits.

Human Psychology: Markets move in emotional cycles — fear, hope, greed — which the Benner cycle seems to capture.

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⚠️ Risks & Criticism

Not everyone buys into Benner’s theory:

Outdated Roots: Built from 19th-century commodity data, not modern global markets.

Missed Calls: For example, it predicted a panic in 2019 — the real crash came in 2020 during COVID.

Oversimplified: Ignores central banks, geopolitics, and advanced trading systems.

Bias Trap: Many investors only remember when it “works” and ignore when it fails.

Not a Guarantee: Even seasoned traders like Peter Brandt warn it’s more of a curiosity than a trading tool.

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🧠 Bottom Line

The Benner Cycle is an interesting lens for viewing markets, and it has lined up with some $BTC price action so far. If the pattern continues, 2026 could bring peak euphoria and sky-high prices — followed by the inevitable downturn.

But remember: cycles aren’t destiny. Use them as one piece of the puzzle, not your whole strategy.