From the old stock markets to crypto, September is always known to be a bad month for markets. Even on Wall Street, they call it SeptemBear. People return from summer vacations, liquidity changes, and big funds readjust their portfolios, and that's when the market drops. What happened in 2017 and 2020, for example, showed a sharp decline, followed by historical rises in the fourth quarter. It's as if the market is saying, 'Whoever is patient with me in September, I will reward them in December.'
Bitcoin around 110 thousand dollars. A historic number if you compare it to a year ago (we were around 56 thousand only). But the question is: why is this happening? The upcoming American elections are causing concern, and each candidate is trying to use the crypto topic as an election pressure tool. Hong Kong and other countries have started to officially allow the use of Bitcoin, which makes it not just a speculative asset, but a real means of payment. On the other hand, geopolitical tensions (like the trade war and energy crises) are making people turn to Bitcoin. This means Bitcoin is now standing in the middle as a fast speculative asset and a digital political gold.
ETHEREUM is not just a currency worth 4380. It is the platform for DeFi, smart contracts, and Layer 2 that is changing the shape of the internet. Historically, ETH has always been the quiet beneficiary after any major Bitcoin crash; its turn comes to shine because it has a real use case, and this is evident from the support of governments and companies for its technology, even America tried to store economic data on Ethereum.
The Federal Reserve may lower interest rates soon, meeting on September 17–18. Any cut = liquidity injection = rise in risky assets like crypto. But at the same time, any negative political news could create a panic sell. The market doesn't just move on numbers; it moves more on politics than any time before.
September tests the men
Bitcoin can fluctuate between 106 thousand dollars and 124 thousand dollars. Breaking 115 thousand dollars with positive interest news = launch. Breaking 107 thousand dollars = a quick drop to around 97–100 thousand dollars.
Ethereum is following Bitcoin, but it has a chance if it breaks 4,550$, at that time it could easily reach 5K, and history says that September is a month of turbulence. But the Federal Reserve is the remote control. Those who are patient and buy during the red chart will laugh at the end of the year.