It's one of the most professional things around here, I share it for my followers who should also keep it on their radar...

This essay applies a mathematical finance approach to analyze the expected behavior of Bitcoin in the September 2025–March 2026 horizon. Instead of deterministic predictions, stochastic processes, Monte Carlo simulations, and heavy-tailed distributions are used to quantify scenario probabilities.
1. Introduction:
Popular narratives in the crypto ecosystem often rely on fractal concepts (e.g., Fibonacci retracements or the golden ratio φ = 0.618). While attractive, they lack formal statistical rigor.